North Texas Mean Green
6–1 · 2–1 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
47%
American title game
23%
Win the American
9%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.5
How the week went: playoff odds 9% → 13% · title-game odds 47% → 50%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves North Texas's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte
Your game. Beat Charlotte and your playoff odds are 10%; lose and they drop to <1%.
Final · North Texas 54–20 CharlotteWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
#18 South Florida at Memphis
American Athletic race: Memphis losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · South Florida 31–34 MemphisWent the other way ✗
Root for South Florida+6.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
Stanford at #9 Miami
Stanford winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Stanford 7–42 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Root for Stanford+3.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBSSN
Florida Atlantic at Navy
American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Navy in week 10.
Final · Florida Atlantic 32–42 NavyWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida Atlantic+2.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
Boise State at Nevada
Nevada winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Boise State 24–3 NevadaWent the other way ✗
Root for Nevada+1.5 pp playoff odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.