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North Texas Mean Green

51 · 11 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
11%
American title game
4%
Win the American
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1%4% · title-game odds 11%46%.
Playoff odds by week

If North Texas wins out: 18% to win the American, <1% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves North Texas's path
Your game
· ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas

Your game. Win and your American Athletic title-game odds are 21%; lose and they fall to <1%.

Final · UTSA 1755 North TexasWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
· ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at #19 South Florida

American Athletic race: South Florida losing helps your spot in the standings; South Florida losing softens the sting of your loss to them.

Final · Florida Atlantic 1348 South FloridaWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida Atlantic+5.4 pp title-game odds
· ESPNU
Army at Tulane

American Athletic race: Tulane losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Army — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Tulane in week 15.

Final · Army 1724 TulaneWent the other way ✗
Root for Army+5.3 pp title-game odds
· ESPN2
#22 Memphis at UAB

American Athletic race: Memphis losing helps your spot in the standings; UAB visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · Memphis 2431 UABWish granted ✓
Root for UAB+3.2 pp title-game odds
· ESPN
Tulsa at East Carolina

American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Tulsa 2741 East CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for Tulsa+2.5 pp title-game odds
54 more games that don't move your needle
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Louisville at Miami · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas · ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin · CBS
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers · BTN
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky · ESPN
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama · ABC
USC at Notre Dame · NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8).