North Texas Mean Green
9–1 · 5–1 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
89%
American title game
63%
Win the American
35%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.7
How the week went: playoff odds 35% → 40% · title-game odds 89% → 97%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves North Texas's pathYour game
…
… · ESPNU
North Texas at Rice
Your game. Beat Rice and your playoff odds are 38%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Final · North Texas 56–24 RiceWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN+
Washington State at James Madison
You beat Washington State — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Washington State 20–24 James MadisonWent the other way ✗
Root for Washington State+14.0 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB
American Athletic race: South Florida losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat UAB — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · South Florida 48–18 UABWent the other way ✗
Root for UAB+5.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
Pittsburgh at #16 Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Pittsburgh 42–28 Georgia TechWish granted ✓
Root for Pittsburgh+1.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · FS1
Hawai'i at UNLV
Hawai'i winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Hawai'i 10–38 UNLVWent the other way ✗
Root for Hawai'i+1.4 pp playoff odds
55 more games that don't move your needle
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Missouri at Oklahoma · ABC
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Louisville at SMU · ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt · ESPN
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah · ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Cincinnati · FOX
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.