North Texas Mean Green
3–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
30%
American title game
14%
Win the American
6%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.9
How the week went: playoff odds 6% → 10% · title-game odds 30% → 50%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves North Texas's pathYour game
…
… · CBSSN
North Texas at Army
Your game. Beat Army and your playoff odds are 11%; lose and they drop to 4%.
Final · North Texas 45–38 ArmyWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
Arkansas at Memphis
American Athletic race: Memphis losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Arkansas 31–32 MemphisWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+3.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
Tulane at #13 Ole Miss
American Athletic race: Tulane losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Tulane in week 15.
Final · Tulane 10–45 Ole MissWish granted ✓
Root for Ole Miss+3.0 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
BYU at East Carolina
American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · BYU 34–13 East CarolinaWish granted ✓
Root for BYU+2.4 pp title-game odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers · FOX
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
SMU at TCU · ESPN
Bowling Green at Louisville · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
UNLV at Miami (OH) · ESPNU
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon · BTN
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
Purdue at Notre Dame · NBC
Kent State at Florida State · ACC Network
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty · ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Florida at Miami · ABC
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Illinois at Indiana · NBC
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Texas · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.