North Texas Mean Green
10–1 · 6–1 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
96%
American title game
70%
Win the American
70%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds 70% → 72% · title-game odds 96% → 100%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves North Texas's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
Temple at North Texas
Your game. Beat Temple and your playoff odds are 72%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Final · Temple 25–52 North TexasWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPNU
Charlotte at #24 Tulane
You beat Charlotte — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Tulane in week 15.
Final · Charlotte 0–27 TulaneWent the other way ✗
Root for Charlotte+4.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Rice at South Florida
American Athletic race: South Florida losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Rice — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Rice 3–52 South FloridaWent the other way ✗
Root for Rice+3.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana
UL Monroe winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · UL Monroe 27–30 LouisianaWent the other way ✗
Root for UL Monroe+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#13 Utah at Kansas
Utah winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Utah 31–21 KansasWish granted ✓
Root for Utah+1.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Navy at Memphis
You beat Navy — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Navy 28–17 MemphisWish granted ✓
Root for Navy+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBS
Iowa at Nebraska
Iowa winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Iowa 40–16 NebraskaWish granted ✓
Root for Iowa+1.3 pp playoff odds
60 more games that don't move your needle
Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2
Ole Miss at Mississippi State · ABC
Ohio at Buffalo · ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois · CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State · FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN
Boise State at Utah State · CBS
Texas A&M at Texas · ABC
Indiana at Purdue · NBC
Arizona at Arizona State · FOX
Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network
Ohio State at Michigan · FOX
Miami at Pittsburgh · ABC
Houston at Baylor · TNT
Colorado at Kansas State · FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Texas Tech at West Virginia · ESPN
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN
UCF at BYU · ESPN2
UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network
LSU at Oklahoma · ABC
Vanderbilt at Tennessee · ESPN
Oregon at Washington · CBS
Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1
Penn State at Rutgers · BTN
Wake Forest at Duke · ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Army at UTSA · ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina · ESPNU
Florida State at Florida · ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State · FS1
Virginia Tech at Virginia · ESPN
Alabama at Auburn · ABC
UCLA at USC · NBC
Northwestern at Illinois · FOX
North Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
SMU at California · ESPN2
UNLV at Nevada · CBSSN
Notre Dame at Stanford · ESPN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14).