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North Texas Mean Green

50 · 10 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
51%
American title game
23%
Win the American
10%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.3
How the week went: playoff odds 10%1% · title-game odds 51%13%.
Playoff odds by week

If North Texas wins out: 46% to win the American, 29% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves North Texas's path
Your game
· ESPN2
#24 South Florida at North Texas

Your game. Beat South Florida and your playoff odds are 12%; lose and they drop to 3%.

Final · South Florida 6336 North TexasWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
· ESPN2
Navy at Temple

American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings; Temple visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Navy 3231 TempleWent the other way ✗
Root for Temple+4.0 pp title-game odds
· ESPN
East Carolina at Tulane

American Athletic race: Tulane losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Tulane in week 15.

Final · East Carolina 1926 TulaneWent the other way ✗
Root for East Carolina+2.1 pp title-game odds
· FS1
New Mexico at Boise State

New Mexico winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · New Mexico 2541 Boise StateWent the other way ✗
Root for New Mexico+1.3 pp playoff odds
52 more games that don't move your needle
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State · CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri · ABC
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Ohio State at Illinois · FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati · FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas · ABC
Northwestern at Penn State · FS1
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Indiana at Oregon · CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame · Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN
TCU at Kansas State · FOX
Air Force at UNLV · CBSSN
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M · ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1
San José State at Wyoming · CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn · ABC
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Michigan at USC · NBC
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX
Rice at UTSA · ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Arizona · ESPN2
Troy at Texas State · ESPN+
Arizona State at Utah · ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada · CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.