North Texas Mean Green
4–0 · 1–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
50%
American title game
24%
Win the American
10%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.4
How the week went: playoff odds 10% → 10% · title-game odds 50% → 51%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves North Texas's pathYour game
…
… · ESPNU
South Alabama at North Texas
Your game. Beat South Alabama and your playoff odds are 11%; lose and they drop to 4%.
Final · South Alabama 22–36 North TexasWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPNU
Tulane at Tulsa
American Athletic race: Tulane losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Tulane in week 15.
Final · Tulane 31–14 TulsaWent the other way ✗
Root for Tulsa+8.0 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
Memphis at Florida Atlantic
American Athletic race: Memphis losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Memphis 55–26 Florida AtlanticWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida Atlantic+7.6 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
Rice at Navy
American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings; Rice visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Final · Rice 13–21 NavyWent the other way ✗
Root for Rice+4.9 pp title-game odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas · ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
USC at Illinois · FOX
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
Auburn at Texas A&M · ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
Indiana at Iowa · Peacock
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Alabama at Georgia · ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
App State at Boise State · FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.