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North Texas Mean Green

50 · 10 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
51%
American title game
24%
Win the American
10%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.4
How the week went: playoff odds 10%10%.
Playoff odds by week

If North Texas wins out: 49% to win the American, 29% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves North Texas's path
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
· ESPNU
Tulsa at Memphis

American Athletic race: Memphis losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Tulsa 745 MemphisWent the other way ✗
Root for Tulsa+7.1 pp title-game odds
· ESPN+
UTSA at Temple

American Athletic race: UTSA losing helps your spot in the standings; Temple visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · UTSA 2127 TempleWish granted ✓
Root for Temple+2.0 pp title-game odds
· ESPNU
Army at UAB

American Athletic race: Army losing helps your spot in the standings; you already beat Army; them losing again keeps them behind you; UAB visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · Army 3113 UABWent the other way ✗
Root for UAB+1.9 pp title-game odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Vanderbilt at Alabama · ABC
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia · ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan · FOX
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Texas at Florida · ESPN
Penn State at UCLA · CBS
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame · NBC
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State · NBC
Miami at Florida State · ABC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.