๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#12Texas Tech Red Raiders

4โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 5 ยท 2026
Week 5 pregame guide

Texas Tech's first real road trip lands with Will Hammond throwing three picks

Hammond's three interceptions and 40.2 rating survived Sam Houston because Austin Romaine scored twice. Folsom Field on Homecoming night is a harder place to be careless.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
A wide view of Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock before a game in 2010.
Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock before a game in 2010.
CreditPhoto creditJohn McStravickWikimedia Commons ยท CC BY 2.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Texas Tech at Colorado
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Final
Texas Tech
Final ยท Texas Tech 29โ€“7 ColoradoWish granted โœ“
Colorado

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas Tech wanted
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Impact 1
BYU
at
Rooted for
TCU
Final ยท BYU 17โ€“10 TCUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 7.1-point title-game boost

BYU won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection80% if TCU won73% with the other result7.1-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
West Virginia
at
Iowa State
Final ยท West Virginia 42โ€“45 Iowa StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.2-point title-game boost

Iowa State won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection80% if West Virginia won76% with the other result4.2-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
UL Monroe
at
South Alabama
Final ยท UL Monroe 35โ€“52 South AlabamaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.1-point playoff boost

South Alabama won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection55% if UL Monroe won53% with the other result2.1-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
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Impact 4
Indiana
at
Rooted for
Rutgers
Final ยท Indiana 47โ€“15 RutgersWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.0-point first-round-bye boost

Indiana won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection12% if Rutgers won9% with the other result3-point differenceTexas Tech first-round bye chance
51 other games had little impact
Florida at Missouri ยท ABC
UCF at Houston ยท ESPN2
Ohio State at Iowa ยท CBS
Miami at Clemson ยท ABC
Boston College at SMU ยท The CW Network
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
North Texas at Tulsa ยท ESPN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Liberty at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Penn State at Northwestern ยท FOX
Memphis at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Alabama at Mississippi State ยท ABC
Middle Tennessee at Kansas ยท ESPNU
Notre Dame at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn ยท CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota ยท FOX
Navy at Air Force ยท CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Western Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Auburn at Tennessee ยท ESPN
California at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Louisville at NC State ยท ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State ยท ESPN2
Wyoming at North Dakota State ยท The CW Network
Akron at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Marshall at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Maryland at Nebraska ยท FS1
UTEP at New Mexico ยท MW+
Kentucky at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois ยท BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State ยท USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M ยท ESPN2
UTSA at Rice ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Washington at USC ยท NBC
Utah State at Boise State ยท CBSSN
Temple at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Army at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Arkansas State at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State ยท USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State ยท ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State ยท The CW Network
Cincinnati at Arizona ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Hawai'i ยท MW+
The rooting list was:Texas Tech, then TCU, West Virginia, UL Monroe, Rutgers.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.