Texas Tech Red Raiders
0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12
Way too early
WEEK 5 · 2026
78%
Big 12 title game
52%
Win the Big 12
67%
Make the playoff
21%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.3
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-5 job: beat Colorado.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas Tech's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Texas Tech at Colorado
Your game. Beat Colorado and your playoff odds are 69%; lose and they drop to 45%.
Texas Tech 89%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 3
BYU at TCU
Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings; TCU visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
TCU 54%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Cincinnati at Arizona
Cincinnati visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Arizona 77%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
West Virginia at Iowa State
Big 12 race: Iowa State losing helps your spot in the standings; West Virginia visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Iowa State 84%
51 more games that don't move your needle
Indiana at Rutgers
Ohio State at Iowa
Miami at Clemson
UCF at Houston
Alabama at Mississippi State
Penn State at Northwestern
North Texas at Tulsa
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
Liberty at Delaware
Vanderbilt at Georgia
Florida at Missouri
Kentucky at South Carolina
Auburn at Tennessee
Arkansas at Texas A&M
Middle Tennessee at Kansas
Baylor at Arizona State
Boston College at SMU
California at UNLV
Louisville at NC State
Notre Dame at North Carolina
Stanford at Wake Forest
Syracuse at UConn
Virginia at Florida State
Purdue at Illinois
Michigan at Minnesota
Maryland at Nebraska
Washington at USC
Michigan State at Wisconsin
Utah State at Boise State
Oregon State at Colorado State
Texas State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Washington State
Memphis at Charlotte
UTSA at Rice
Navy at Air Force
Temple at South Florida
San José State at Hawai'i
UTEP at New Mexico
Akron at Central Michigan
Toledo at Ball State
Western Michigan at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts
Ohio at Kent State
Bowling Green at Miami (OH)
Army at Louisiana Tech
Arkansas State at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
Old Dominion at Georgia State
Marshall at James Madison
UL Monroe at South Alabama
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.