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Texas Tech Red Raiders

0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12
Way too early
WEEK 9 · 2026
78%
Big 12 title game
52%
Win the Big 12
67%
Make the playoff
21%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.3
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-9 job: beat Arizona.
Playoff odds by week
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If Texas Tech wins out: 66% to win the Big 12, 91% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas Tech's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Arizona at Texas Tech

Your game. Beat Arizona and your playoff odds are 71%; lose and they drop to 41%.

Texas Tech 85%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Utah at Cincinnati

Cincinnati winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 79%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Kansas State at Colorado

Big 12 race: Kansas State losing helps your spot in the standings.

Kansas State 67%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Oklahoma State at Iowa State

Big 12 race: Iowa State losing helps your spot in the standings; Oklahoma State visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Iowa State 91%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Florida at Georgia

Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Georgia 84%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Arizona State at BYU

Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings.

BYU 72%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Nevada at UCLA

Nevada winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

UCLA 79%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Marshall at Old Dominion

Old Dominion winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Old Dominion 76%
46 more games that don't move your needle
Ohio State at USC
Auburn at Ole Miss
Kansas at TCU
Delaware at Western Kentucky
Sam Houston at Missouri State
Jacksonville State at New Mexico State
Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee
Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Troy at James Madison
Tulane at Charlotte
Missouri at Arkansas
South Carolina at Oklahoma
Mississippi State at Texas
Baylor at UCF
California at NC State
SMU at Syracuse
Boston College at Duke
Clemson at Florida State
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
Miami at North Carolina
Stanford at Louisville
Virginia at Wake Forest
Minnesota at Indiana
Wisconsin at Iowa
Illinois at Maryland
Washington at Nebraska
Northwestern at Oregon
Purdue at Penn State
Michigan at Rutgers
Navy at Notre Dame
Texas State at Boise State
Washington State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Utah State
Oregon State at Fresno State
UConn at Air Force
Army at Memphis
Temple at East Carolina
UAB at South Florida
New Mexico at San José State
Northern Illinois at UNLV
Bowling Green at Western Michigan
App State at Georgia Southern
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State
Florida International at Liberty
Southern Miss at UL Monroe
Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.