Texas Tech Red Raiders
0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
78%
Big 12 title game
52%
Win the Big 12
67%
Make the playoff
21%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.3
Way-too-early read: bye week — pure scoreboard-watching, whenever it arrives.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas Tech's pathBig swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Kansas at Utah
Kansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Utah 89%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Houston at Kansas State
Big 12 race: Kansas State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Kansas State 73%
TBD
THU OCT 8
South Alabama at Arkansas State
South Alabama winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Arkansas State 60%
53 more games that don't move your needle
Indiana at Nebraska
UCF at Oklahoma State
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
Arizona at West Virginia
Georgia at Alabama
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Southern Miss at Troy
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Florida International
South Florida at UTSA
Sam Houston at Liberty
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Florida State at Louisville
Washington State at Utah State
Tennessee at Arkansas
South Carolina at Florida
LSU at Kentucky
Texas A&M at Missouri
Texas at Oklahoma
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Iowa State at BYU
Duke at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Ball State at Northwestern
Maryland at Ohio State
UCLA at Oregon
USC at Penn State
Minnesota at Purdue
Iowa at Washington
Boise State at Fresno State
San Diego State at Oregon State
UConn at Temple
Tulane at Army
Charlotte at North Texas
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Nevada at UTEP
Wyoming at San José State
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Buffalo at Toledo
Central Michigan at Ohio
Kent State at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Old Dominion at App State
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Stanford at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.