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Texas Tech Red Raiders

0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12
Way too early
WEEK 13 · 2026
78%
Big 12 title game
52%
Win the Big 12
67%
Make the playoff
21%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.3
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-13 job: beat TCU.
Playoff odds by week
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If Texas Tech wins out: 66% to win the Big 12, 91% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas Tech's path
Your game
…
… · ESPN
TCU at Texas Tech

Your game. Beat TCU and your playoff odds are 71%; lose and they drop to 37%.

Texas Tech 86%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 28
West Virginia at Utah

West Virginia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 95%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Notre Dame at Syracuse

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Syracuse winning protects it.

Notre Dame 98%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Cincinnati at BYU

Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings.

BYU 81%
…
… · ABC
Mississippi State at Ole Miss

Mississippi State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ole Miss 92%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
SMU at Stanford

Stanford winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

SMU 80%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Penn State at Maryland

Maryland winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 83%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Michigan at Ohio State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Michigan winning protects it.

Ohio State 85%
55 more games that don't move your needle
Washington at Oregon
Kansas State at Iowa State
Kansas at Oklahoma State
Kent State at Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
Nebraska at Iowa
Florida Atlantic at East Carolina
Temple at Memphis
Tulane at South Florida
Buffalo at Akron
Toledo at Ohio
App State at South Alabama
Florida at Florida State · ABC
Texas at Texas A&M · ABC
Auburn at Alabama
LSU at Arkansas
Georgia Tech at Georgia
Louisville at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Missouri
South Carolina at Clemson
Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Arizona State at Arizona
Baylor at Houston
UCF at Colorado
Boston College at Miami
Duke at Wake Forest
NC State at North Carolina
Pittsburgh at California
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Northwestern at Illinois
Purdue at Indiana
Michigan State at Rutgers
USC at UCLA
Minnesota at Wisconsin
UConn at Wyoming
Tulsa at UTSA
Army at Rice
Navy at Charlotte
UAB at North Texas
Air Force at New Mexico
Nevada at UNLV
UTEP at Northern Illinois
Central Michigan at Ball State
Massachusetts at Bowling Green
Troy at Arkansas State
Coastal Carolina at James Madison
Louisiana Tech at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Georgia State
Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky
Jacksonville State at Delaware
Liberty at Missouri State
Sam Houston at Florida International
New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee
Marshall at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Old Dominion

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.