Texas Tech Red Raiders
0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12
Way too early
WEEK 7 · 2026
78%
Big 12 title game
52%
Win the Big 12
67%
Make the playoff
21%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.3
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-7 job: beat Arizona State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas Tech's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Arizona State at Texas Tech
Your game. Beat Arizona State and your playoff odds are 70%; lose and they drop to 42%.
Texas Tech 89%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Utah at Colorado
Colorado winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Utah 86%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Notre Dame at BYU
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and BYU winning protects it.
Notre Dame 87%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Florida at Texas
Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Texas 84%
53 more games that don't move your needle
Kansas at Kansas State
Cincinnati at West Virginia
TCU at Baylor
Florida International at Jacksonville State
Delaware at Middle Tennessee
Kennesaw State at Missouri State
Western Kentucky at Sam Houston
East Carolina at UAB
Georgia Southern at Old Dominion
Memphis at Tulane
App State at Coastal Carolina
Auburn at Georgia
Mississippi State at LSU
Missouri at Ole Miss
Kentucky at Oklahoma
Alabama at Tennessee
Arkansas at Vanderbilt
Oklahoma State at Houston
Florida State at Miami
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
Louisville at Syracuse
North Carolina at Duke
Pittsburgh at Boston College
Virginia at SMU
Wake Forest at California
Ohio State at Indiana
Rutgers at Maryland
Penn State at Michigan
Northwestern at Michigan State
Nebraska at Oregon
Washington at Purdue
Wisconsin at UCLA
Washington State at Oregon State
Fresno State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Texas State
Florida Atlantic at Army
Charlotte at Temple
Navy at UTSA
Tulsa at Rice
Kent State at South Florida
New Mexico at Hawai'i
Northern Illinois at Wyoming
San José State at UTEP
UNLV at Air Force
Ball State at Bowling Green
Massachusetts at Buffalo
Western Michigan at Central Michigan
Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Akron at Miami (OH)
Arkansas State at Southern Miss
Georgia State at James Madison
Troy at Louisiana
Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.