🏈 Fan Watch

#11Texas Tech Red Raiders

3–0 · 1–0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2026
Week 4 pregame guide

Trey White's first sack starts the clock McGuire set for this defense

Texas Tech closes nonconference play against Sam Houston's 345-yard passing offense, the cleanest look yet at whether the Red Raiders' pass defense is actually closing.

Read the rooting guide →
A wide view of Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock before a game in 2010.
Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock before a game in 2010.
CreditPhoto creditJohn McStravickWikimedia Commons · CC BY 2.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Sam Houston at Texas Tech
…
…
TNT
Final
Sam Houston
Final · Sam Houston 14–49 Texas TechWish granted ✓
Texas Tech

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas Tech wanted
…
…
FOX
Impact 1
Utah
at
Rooted for
Iowa State
Final · Utah 31–17 Iowa StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 5.2-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection53% if Iowa State won48% with the other result5.2-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
…
…
ESPN2
Impact 2
Kansas State
at
Rooted for
Cincinnati
Final · Kansas State 26–31 CincinnatiWish granted ✓
Projected 5.2-point title-game boost

Kansas State lost, improving Texas Tech's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection74% if Cincinnati won68% with the other result5.2-point differenceTexas Tech Big 12 title-game chance
…
…
FS1
Impact 3
Air Force
at
Rooted for
Nevada
Final · Air Force 36–33 NevadaWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Air Force won instead, so Texas Tech did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection51% if Nevada won49% with the other result1.5-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
…
…
CBS
Impact 4
Rooted for
Arizona
at
Washington State
Final · Arizona 34–24 Washington StateWish granted ✓
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Arizona won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 9 game against Texas Tech.

Entering-week projection51% if Arizona won49% with the other result1.4-point differenceTexas Tech playoff chance
53 other games had little impact
TCU at UCF · FS1
Liberty at Coastal Carolina · ESPN
Army at Temple · ESPN
Navy at UAB · ESPN
Northwestern at Indiana · FOX
Clemson at California · ESPN
Texas at Tennessee · ABC
Colorado at Baylor · ESPN2
Virginia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Louisville · ESPN
Illinois at Ohio State · FOX
San Diego State at Toledo · CBSSN
Colorado State at UTSA · ESPNU
UNLV at Akron · ESPN+
Ball State at Kent State · ESPN+
South Alabama at Kentucky · SEC Network
UCLA at Maryland · BTN
Notre Dame at Purdue · Peacock
Northern Illinois at Georgia State · ESPN+
Hawai'i at Wyoming · The CW Network
Ole Miss at Florida · ABC
Oklahoma at Georgia · ESPN
Iowa at Michigan · CBS
Boise State at Western Michigan · ESPN2
UConn at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
New Mexico at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Houston at Georgia Southern · ESPNU
Vanderbilt at Auburn · SEC Network
Nebraska at Michigan State · BTN
Wisconsin at Penn State · ERADM
South Florida at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Delaware at Virginia · ACC Network
James Madison at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Miami · The CW Network
Louisiana at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Carolina at Alabama · ESPN
Oklahoma State at West Virginia · FS1
Southern Miss at Tulane · ESPN+
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Oregon at USC · NBC
Troy at Utah State · CBSSN
App State at NC State · ESPNU
Missouri at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Tulsa at Arkansas · SECN+
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Missouri State at SMU · ACC Network
Oregon State at UTEP · MW+
Massachusetts at Sacramento State · ESPN+
Rice at Fresno State · The CW Network
Georgia Tech at Stanford · ESPN
Minnesota at Washington · FOX
The rooting list was:Texas Tech, then Iowa State, Cincinnati, Nevada, Arizona.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.