Texas Tech Red Raiders

0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12

Way too early

WEEK 8 · 2026

78%

Big 12 title game

52%

Win the Big 12

67%

Make the playoff

21%

First-round bye

avg seed 6.3

Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-8 job: beat Cincinnati.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

If Texas Tech wins out: 66% to win the Big 12, 91% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas Tech's path

Your game

TBD

SAT OCT 24

Texas Tech at Cincinnati

Your game. Beat Cincinnati and your playoff odds are 71%; lose and they drop to 43%.

Texas Tech 83%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT OCT 24

Houston at Utah

Houston winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 89%

TBD

SAT OCT 24

Iowa State at Arizona

Arizona visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Arizona 66%

TBD

SAT OCT 24

Kansas State at Arizona State

Big 12 race: Kansas State losing helps your spot in the standings.

Arizona State 56%

TBD

SAT OCT 24

Oklahoma at Mississippi State

Oklahoma winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Oklahoma 68%

TBD

SAT OCT 24

Oregon at Illinois

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Illinois winning protects it.

Oregon 77%

TBD

SAT OCT 24

Vanderbilt at Kentucky

Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Vanderbilt 73%

TBD

SAT OCT 24

USC at Wisconsin

Wisconsin winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

USC 70%

46 more games that don't move your needle

BYU at UCF

Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech

Baylor at Kansas

Indiana at Michigan

Middle Tennessee at Florida International

Missouri State at Delaware

South Alabama at Marshall

Liberty at Kennesaw State

New Mexico State at Sam Houston

East Carolina at Memphis

James Madison at App State

Duke at Virginia

NC State at Stanford

Army at Tulsa

Texas A&M at Alabama

LSU at Auburn

Tennessee at South Carolina

Ole Miss at Texas

Colorado at Oklahoma State

West Virginia at TCU

California at SMU

Boston College at Georgia Tech

Pittsburgh at Miami

Syracuse at North Carolina

Virginia Tech at Clemson

Iowa at Minnesota

Rutgers at Northwestern

Michigan State at UCLA

San Diego State at Colorado State

Utah State at Texas State

Boise State at Washington State

Massachusetts at UConn

Rice at Florida Atlantic

North Texas at Navy

UTSA at Tulane

Air Force at Wyoming

Hawai'i at Northern Illinois

San José State at Nevada

Akron at Kent State

Bowling Green at Buffalo

Eastern Michigan at Ohio

Western Michigan at Toledo

Miami (OH) at Central Michigan

Georgia State at Arkansas State

Louisiana at Southern Miss

UL Monroe at Troy

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.