Ohio State Buckeyes
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 5 · 2026
44%
Big Ten title game
27%
Win the Big Ten
>99%
Make the playoff
81%
First-round bye
avg seed 3.1
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-5 job: beat Iowa.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Ohio State's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Ohio State at Iowa
Your game. You're essentially in — this is about seeding: win and you're looking at roughly the 3rd seed, lose and it's closer to the 4th.
Ohio State 67%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Indiana at Rutgers
Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Indiana in week 7.
Indiana 95%
TBD
FRI OCT 2
Penn State at Northwestern
Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings; Northwestern visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Penn State 83%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Texas Tech at Colorado
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Colorado winning protects it.
Texas Tech 96%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Vanderbilt at Georgia
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Vanderbilt winning protects it.
Georgia 77%
50 more games that don't move your needle
North Texas at Tulsa
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
Liberty at Delaware
Alabama at Mississippi State
Florida at Missouri
Kentucky at South Carolina
Auburn at Tennessee
Arkansas at Texas A&M
Middle Tennessee at Kansas
Baylor at Arizona State
BYU at TCU
UCF at Houston
Cincinnati at Arizona
West Virginia at Iowa State
Boston College at SMU
California at UNLV
Louisville at NC State
Miami at Clemson
Notre Dame at North Carolina
Stanford at Wake Forest
Syracuse at UConn
Virginia at Florida State
Purdue at Illinois
Michigan at Minnesota
Maryland at Nebraska
Washington at USC
Michigan State at Wisconsin
Utah State at Boise State
Oregon State at Colorado State
Texas State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Washington State
Memphis at Charlotte
UTSA at Rice
Navy at Air Force
Temple at South Florida
San José State at Hawai'i
UTEP at New Mexico
Akron at Central Michigan
Toledo at Ball State
Western Michigan at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts
Ohio at Kent State
Bowling Green at Miami (OH)
Army at Louisiana Tech
Arkansas State at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
Old Dominion at Georgia State
Marshall at James Madison
UL Monroe at South Alabama
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.