Ohio State Buckeyes
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 13 · 2026
32%
Big Ten title game
15%
Win the Big Ten
80%
Make the playoff
36%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.2
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-13 job: beat Michigan.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Ohio State's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Michigan at Ohio State
Your game. Beat Michigan and your playoff odds are 85%; lose and they drop to 51%.
Ohio State 85%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Penn State at Maryland
Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Penn State 83%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Purdue at Indiana
Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings.
Indiana 99%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Notre Dame at Syracuse
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Syracuse winning protects it.
Notre Dame 98%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Georgia Tech at Georgia
Georgia Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Georgia 93%
TBD
FRI NOV 27
Nebraska at Iowa
Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings.
Iowa 86%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
USC at UCLA
UCLA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
USC 81%
56 more games that don't move your needle
TCU at Texas Tech · ESPN
Washington at Oregon
Kent State at Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
Florida Atlantic at East Carolina
Temple at Memphis
Tulane at South Florida
Buffalo at Akron
Toledo at Ohio
Mississippi State at Ole Miss · ABC
App State at South Alabama
Florida at Florida State · ABC
Texas at Texas A&M · ABC
Auburn at Alabama
LSU at Arkansas
Louisville at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Missouri
South Carolina at Clemson
Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Arizona State at Arizona
Baylor at Houston
UCF at Colorado
Cincinnati at BYU
Kansas at Oklahoma State
Kansas State at Iowa State
West Virginia at Utah
Boston College at Miami
Duke at Wake Forest
NC State at North Carolina
Pittsburgh at California
SMU at Stanford
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Northwestern at Illinois
Michigan State at Rutgers
Minnesota at Wisconsin
UConn at Wyoming
Tulsa at UTSA
Army at Rice
Navy at Charlotte
UAB at North Texas
Air Force at New Mexico
Nevada at UNLV
UTEP at Northern Illinois
Central Michigan at Ball State
Massachusetts at Bowling Green
Troy at Arkansas State
Coastal Carolina at James Madison
Louisiana Tech at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Georgia State
Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky
Jacksonville State at Delaware
Liberty at Missouri State
Sam Houston at Florida International
New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee
Marshall at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Old Dominion
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.