Ohio State Buckeyes

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN

Way too early

WEEK 10 · 2026

32%

Big Ten title game

15%

Win the Big Ten

80%

Make the playoff

36%

First-round bye

avg seed 5.2

Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-10 job: beat Oregon.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

If Ohio State wins out: 57% to win the Big Ten, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ohio State's path

Your game

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Oregon at Ohio State

Your game. Beat Oregon and your playoff odds are 88%; lose and they drop to 64%.

Ohio State 67%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Penn State at Washington

Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings.

Washington 54%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Iowa at Northwestern

Northwestern visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Iowa 69%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

West Virginia at Texas Tech

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and West Virginia winning protects it.

Texas Tech 96%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Michigan State at Michigan

Michigan visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Michigan 86%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Texas A&M at South Carolina

South Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas A&M 54%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Oklahoma at Florida

Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Oklahoma 58%

TBD

SAT NOV 7

Nebraska at Illinois

Nebraska visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Illinois 64%

53 more games that don't move your needle

Vanderbilt at Mississippi State

BYU at Utah

Maryland at Purdue

Ohio at Akron

Buffalo at Miami (OH)

Ball State at Massachusetts

Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan

UTSA at Florida Atlantic

James Madison at Southern Miss

TCU at Arizona

Virginia Tech at SMU

South Florida at East Carolina

Arkansas at Auburn

Alabama at LSU

Georgia at Ole Miss

Texas at Missouri

Kentucky at Tennessee

UCF at Kansas

Cincinnati at Houston

Colorado at Arizona State

Iowa State at Baylor

Oklahoma State at Kansas State

Clemson at Syracuse

Duke at NC State

Louisville at Georgia Tech

Florida State at Boston College

North Carolina at UConn

UCLA at Minnesota

Rutgers at Wisconsin

Boise State at Colorado State

Texas State at Oregon State

Fresno State at Utah State

Charlotte at UAB

Temple at Navy

Rice at North Texas

Tulsa at Tulane

Air Force at Army

Hawai'i at UTEP

New Mexico at Nevada

Northern Illinois at San José State

Wyoming at UNLV

Georgia State at App State

UL Monroe at Arkansas State

Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina

Marshall at Georgia Southern

South Alabama at Louisiana

Liberty at New Mexico State

Delaware at Kennesaw State

Missouri State at Florida International

Sam Houston at Jacksonville State

Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee

Louisiana Tech at Troy

Miami at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.