#5Ohio State Buckeyes

4–1 · 2–0 BIG TEN

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WEEK 7 · 2026

The Week 7 job

Beat Indiana and keep Ohio State's season in its own hands.

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FOX

Big Ten title-game chanceNow66%Win88%Loss55%

Ohio State

Ohio State 33%Indiana 67%

Indiana

TBD

SAT OCT 17

TV TBA

Priority 1

Wisconsin

at

Root for

UCLA

Root for UCLA4.8-point title-game boost

Wisconsin losing would help Ohio State in the Big Ten standings.

68% if UCLA wins63% with the other result4.8-point differenceOhio State Big Ten title-game chance

TBD

SAT OCT 17

TV TBA

Priority 2

Root for

Nebraska

at

Oregon

Root for Nebraska3.4-point title-game boost

Oregon losing would help Ohio State in the Big Ten standings; Ohio State plays Nebraska in week 12, so a win would make a future opponent look stronger.

68% if Nebraska wins65% with the other result3.4-point differenceOhio State Big Ten title-game chance

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ABC

Priority 3

Notre Dame

at

Root for

BYU

Root for BYU3.6-point first-round-bye boost

BYU winning improves your chances of earning a top-four seed and first-round bye.

48% if BYU wins45% with the other result3.6-point differenceOhio State first-round bye chance

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ESPN

Priority 4

Root for

Florida State

at

Miami

Root for Florida State3.2-point first-round-bye boost

Florida State winning improves your chances of earning a top-four seed and first-round bye.

48% if Florida State wins45% with the other result3.2-point differenceOhio State first-round bye chance

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TV TBA

Priority 5

Alabama

at

Root for

Tennessee

Root for Tennessee2.7-point first-round-bye boost

Tennessee winning improves your chances of earning a top-four seed and first-round bye.

47% if Tennessee wins45% with the other result2.7-point differenceOhio State first-round bye chance

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TV TBA

Priority 6

Root for

Florida

at

Texas

Root for Florida2.5-point first-round-bye boost

Florida winning improves your chances of earning a top-four seed and first-round bye; Texas losing would soften the effect of Ohio State's loss to them.

48% if Florida wins45% with the other result2.5-point differenceOhio State first-round bye chance

52 more games that don't move your needle

Delaware at Middle Tennessee · CBSSN

Florida International at Jacksonville State · ESPNU

Kennesaw State at Missouri State · CBSSN

Western Kentucky at Sam Houston · ESPN2

East Carolina at UAB · ESPN

Georgia Southern at Old Dominion · ESPN2

Colorado State at Texas State · CBSSN

Memphis at Tulane · ESPN

Washington at Purdue · FOX

App State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2

Utah at Colorado

Wake Forest at California

Penn State at Michigan

Mississippi State at LSU

Cincinnati at West Virginia · TNT

Kansas at Kansas State · FS1

Pittsburgh at Boston College · ESPN2

Virginia at SMU · The CW Network

Northwestern at Michigan State · Peacock

Florida Atlantic at Army · CBSSN

Ball State at Bowling Green · ESPN+

Georgia State at James Madison · ESPNU

Rutgers at Maryland · BTN

Charlotte at Temple · ESPN+

Massachusetts at Buffalo · ESPN+

Western Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+

Auburn at Georgia

Missouri at Ole Miss

Arizona State at Texas Tech · FOX

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech · ACC Network

North Carolina at Duke · ESPN2

Northern Illinois at Wyoming · The CW Network

UNLV at Air Force · CBSSN

Toledo at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+

Akron at Miami (OH) · ESPN+

Tulsa at Rice · ESPN+

Troy at Louisiana · ESPN+

Washington State at Oregon State · USA Network

Arkansas at Vanderbilt · ESPN2

TCU at Baylor · FS1

Kent State at South Florida · ESPN+

Nevada at North Dakota State · CBSSN

Arkansas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+

Kentucky at Oklahoma · SEC Network

Oklahoma State at Houston · FOX

Louisville at Syracuse · ACC Network

Navy at UTSA · ESPNU

Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe · ESPN+

San José State at UTEP · MW+

Ohio at Sacramento State · ESPN+

Fresno State at San Diego State · CBSSN

New Mexico at Hawai'i · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.