Ohio State Buckeyes

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN

Way too early

WEEK 7 · 2026

32%

Big Ten title game

15%

Win the Big Ten

80%

Make the playoff

36%

First-round bye

avg seed 5.2

Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-7 job: beat Indiana.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

If Ohio State wins out: 57% to win the Big Ten, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ohio State's path

Your game

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Ohio State at Indiana

Your game. Beat Indiana and your playoff odds are 91%; lose and they drop to 77%.

Indiana 77%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Penn State at Michigan

Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings; Michigan visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Penn State 53%

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Nebraska at Oregon

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings; Nebraska visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Oregon 91%

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Kentucky at Oklahoma

Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Oklahoma 84%

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Florida State at Miami

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Florida State winning protects it.

Miami 89%

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Notre Dame at BYU

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and BYU winning protects it.

Notre Dame 87%

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Auburn at Georgia

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Auburn winning protects it.

Georgia 86%

TBD

SAT OCT 17

Northwestern at Michigan State

Northwestern visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Northwestern 53%

49 more games that don't move your needle

App State at Coastal Carolina

Missouri at Ole Miss

TCU at Baylor

Wisconsin at UCLA

UNLV at Air Force

Florida International at Jacksonville State

Delaware at Middle Tennessee

Kennesaw State at Missouri State

Western Kentucky at Sam Houston

East Carolina at UAB

Georgia Southern at Old Dominion

Memphis at Tulane

Mississippi State at LSU

Alabama at Tennessee

Florida at Texas

Arkansas at Vanderbilt

Arizona State at Texas Tech

Cincinnati at West Virginia

Kansas at Kansas State

Oklahoma State at Houston

Utah at Colorado

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech

Louisville at Syracuse

North Carolina at Duke

Pittsburgh at Boston College

Virginia at SMU

Wake Forest at California

Rutgers at Maryland

Washington at Purdue

Washington State at Oregon State

Fresno State at San Diego State

Colorado State at Texas State

Florida Atlantic at Army

Charlotte at Temple

Navy at UTSA

Tulsa at Rice

Kent State at South Florida

New Mexico at Hawai'i

Northern Illinois at Wyoming

San José State at UTEP

Ball State at Bowling Green

Massachusetts at Buffalo

Western Michigan at Central Michigan

Toledo at Eastern Michigan

Akron at Miami (OH)

Arkansas State at Southern Miss

Georgia State at James Madison

Troy at Louisiana

Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.