Boise State Broncos

9–4 · 6–2 MOUNTAIN WEST

In the books

WEEK 16 · 2025

100%

MW title game

100%

Win the MW

12%

Make the playoff

First-round bye

avg seed 11.9

Boise State has clinched a spot in the Mountain West championship game.

How the week went: playoff odds 12% → 12%.

Playoff odds by week

If Boise State wins out: 100% to win the MW, 12% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Boise State's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves Boise State's odds. Enjoy the football.

1 more games that don't move your needle

Army at Navy · CBS

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 16, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 16). How the model works.