🏈 Fan Watch

North Texas Mean Green

2–2 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2026
Week 5 pregame guide

North Texas takes its new run game to Tulsa as a near pick'em

Jaheim White's four touchdowns and Tayven Jackson's 16-of-18 night buried Houston Christian 63-14. Now the offense travels to a Tulsa team the market likes.

Read the rooting guide →
North Texas runs the ball against Rice in 2025.
North Texas faces Rice in 2025.
CreditPhoto credit2C2K PhotographyWikimedia Commons · CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

North Texas at Tulsa
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ESPN
Final
North Texas
Final · North Texas 45–44 TulsaWish granted ✓
Tulsa

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result North Texas wanted
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ESPNU
Impact 1
Rooted for
Temple
at
South Florida
Final · Temple 17–13 South FloridaWish granted ✓
Projected 4.3-point title-game boost

South Florida lost, improving North Texas's place in the American Athletic standings.

Entering-week projection67% if Temple won62% with the other result4.3-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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ESPNU
Impact 2
Rooted for
Marshall
at
James Madison
Final · Marshall 17–45 James MadisonWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

James Madison won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection14% if Marshall won12% with the other result2.3-point differenceNorth Texas playoff chance
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ESPN+
Impact 3
UTSA
at
Rooted for
Rice
Final · UTSA 16–14 RiceWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.3-point title-game boost

UTSA won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection65% if Rice won62% with the other result3.3-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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CBSSN
Impact 4
Liberty
at
Rooted for
Delaware
Final · Liberty 30–14 DelawareWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Liberty won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if Delaware won12% with the other result1.8-point differenceNorth Texas playoff chance
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ESPN+
Impact 5
Memphis
at
Rooted for
Charlotte
Final · Memphis 59–8 CharlotteWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.7-point title-game boost

Memphis won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection65% if Charlotte won62% with the other result2.7-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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CBSSN
Impact 6
Rooted for
Utah State
at
Boise State
Final · Utah State 18–37 Boise StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Boise State won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if Utah State won12% with the other result1.6-point differenceNorth Texas playoff chance
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ESPN+
Impact 7
Army
at
Rooted for
Louisiana Tech
Final · Army 29–31 Louisiana TechWish granted ✓
Projected 1.9-point title-game boost

Army lost, improving North Texas's place in the American Athletic standings.

Entering-week projection64% if Louisiana Tech won62% with the other result1.9-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
48 other games had little impact
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Penn State at Northwestern · FOX
Alabama at Mississippi State · ABC
Middle Tennessee at Kansas · ESPNU
UCF at Houston · ESPN2
West Virginia at Iowa State · TNT
Boston College at SMU · The CW Network
Notre Dame at North Carolina · ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn · CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota · FOX
Navy at Air Force · CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin · BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia · SEC Network
Western Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State · ESPN+
Florida at Missouri · ABC
Auburn at Tennessee · ESPN
California at UNLV · CBSSN
Louisville at NC State · ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State · ESPN2
Ohio State at Iowa · CBS
Wyoming at North Dakota State · The CW Network
Akron at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State · ESPN+
Maryland at Nebraska · FS1
UTEP at New Mexico · MW+
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois · BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State · USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M · ESPN2
BYU at TCU · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Colorado · FOX
Miami at Clemson · ABC
Washington at USC · NBC
Indiana at Rutgers · BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State · USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State · ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State · The CW Network
Cincinnati at Arizona · FOX
San José State at Hawai'i · MW+
The rooting list was:North Texas, then Temple, Marshall, Rice, Delaware, Charlotte, Utah State, Louisiana Tech.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.