🏈 Fan Watch

North Texas Mean Green

1–2 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2026
Week 4 pregame guide

North Texas gave up 337 rushing yards at Texas State and now hosts a defense Rice ran over

Torrance Burgess Jr. ran for 214 in a 49-35 loss. Houston Christian, whose front Rice gashed for 465 rushing yards, is the last check before Tulsa.

Read the rooting guide →
North Texas runs the ball against Rice in 2025.
North Texas faces Rice in 2025.
CreditPhoto credit2C2K PhotographyWikimedia Commons · CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Houston Christian at North Texas
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ESPN+
Final
Houston Christian
Final · Houston Christian 14–63 North TexasWish granted ✓
North Texas

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result North Texas wanted
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ESPN+
Impact 1
South Florida
at
Rooted for
Bowling Green
Final · South Florida 14–6 Bowling GreenWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.3-point title-game boost

South Florida won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection58% if Bowling Green won54% with the other result4.3-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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ESPN
Impact 2
Navy
at
Rooted for
UAB
Final · Navy 20–24 UABWish granted ✓
Projected 3.2-point title-game boost

Navy lost, improving North Texas's place in the American Athletic standings.

Entering-week projection56% if UAB won53% with the other result3.2-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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ESPN+
Impact 3
James Madison
at
Rooted for
Old Dominion
Final · James Madison 46–20 Old DominionWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

James Madison won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection11% if Old Dominion won9% with the other result1.9-point differenceNorth Texas playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 4
Army
at
Rooted for
Temple
Final · Army 21–17 TempleWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.7-point title-game boost

Army won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection56% if Temple won53% with the other result2.7-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
54 other games had little impact
Southern Miss at Tulane · ESPN+
Colorado State at UTSA · ESPNU
Liberty at Coastal Carolina · ESPN
Northwestern at Indiana · FOX
Clemson at California · ESPN
Texas at Tennessee · ABC
Sam Houston at Texas Tech · TNT
Colorado at Baylor · ESPN2
Virginia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Louisville · ESPN
Illinois at Ohio State · FOX
San Diego State at Toledo · CBSSN
UNLV at Akron · ESPN+
Ball State at Kent State · ESPN+
South Alabama at Kentucky · SEC Network
UCLA at Maryland · BTN
Notre Dame at Purdue · Peacock
Northern Illinois at Georgia State · ESPN+
Hawai'i at Wyoming · The CW Network
Ole Miss at Florida · ABC
Oklahoma at Georgia · ESPN
TCU at UCF · FS1
Utah at Iowa State · FOX
Iowa at Michigan · CBS
Boise State at Western Michigan · ESPN2
UConn at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
New Mexico at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Houston at Georgia Southern · ESPNU
Vanderbilt at Auburn · SEC Network
Nebraska at Michigan State · BTN
Wisconsin at Penn State · ERADM
Delaware at Virginia · ACC Network
Central Michigan at Miami · The CW Network
Louisiana at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Carolina at Alabama · ESPN
Kansas State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at West Virginia · FS1
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Arizona at Washington State · CBS
Oregon at USC · NBC
Troy at Utah State · CBSSN
App State at NC State · ESPNU
Missouri at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Tulsa at Arkansas · SECN+
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Missouri State at SMU · ACC Network
Oregon State at UTEP · MW+
Massachusetts at Sacramento State · ESPN+
Rice at Fresno State · The CW Network
Georgia Tech at Stanford · ESPN
Air Force at Nevada · FS1
Minnesota at Washington · FOX
The rooting list was:North Texas, then Bowling Green, UAB, Old Dominion, Temple.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.