North Texas Mean Green
0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 11 · 2026
52%
American title game
25%
Win the American
8%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-11 job: beat UTSA.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves North Texas's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 14
North Texas at UTSA
Your game. Beat UTSA and your playoff odds are 12%; lose and they drop to 3%.
North Texas 57%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Tulane at Rice
American Athletic race: Tulane losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Tulane in week 12.
Tulane 89%
…
…
Boston College at Notre Dame
Notre Dame winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Notre Dame 99%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Duke at Miami
Duke winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Miami 88%
TBD
THU NOV 12
Memphis at South Florida
American Athletic race: South Florida losing helps your spot in the standings.
South Florida 78%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
East Carolina at Charlotte
American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings.
East Carolina 89%
59 more games that don't move your needle
Wake Forest at SMU
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
Western Michigan at Akron
Kent State at Bowling Green
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Buffalo at Ball State
Massachusetts at Toledo
Louisiana at UL Monroe
Florida State at Pittsburgh
Arizona State at UCF
Baylor at BYU
Cincinnati at Iowa State
Houston at Colorado
Kansas at West Virginia
Kansas State at TCU
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
Utah at Arizona
South Carolina at Arkansas
Missouri at Georgia
Florida at Kentucky
Texas at LSU
Auburn at Mississippi State
Ole Miss at Oklahoma
Tennessee at Texas A&M
Alabama at Vanderbilt
California at Virginia
Georgia Tech at Clemson
Louisville at North Carolina
Stanford at Virginia Tech
Syracuse at NC State
USC at Indiana
Purdue at Iowa
Wisconsin at Maryland
Washington at Michigan State
Northwestern at Ohio State
Michigan at Oregon
Minnesota at Penn State
Nebraska at Rutgers
Illinois at UCLA
Oregon State at Boise State
Utah State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Texas State
Colorado State at Washington State
James Madison at UConn
UAB at Temple
Nevada at Northern Illinois
San José State at Air Force
UNLV at New Mexico
Wyoming at UTEP
App State at Marshall
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
New Mexico State at Missouri State
Florida International at Delaware
Middle Tennessee at Liberty
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Troy at South Alabama
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.