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North Texas Mean Green

00 · 00 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 2 · 2026
52%
American title game
25%
Win the American
8%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-2 job: beat UNLV.
Playoff odds by week

If North Texas wins out: 61% to win the American, 33% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves North Texas's path
Your game
TBD
SAT SEP 12
UNLV at North Texas

Your game. Beat UNLV and your playoff odds are 10%; lose and they drop to 5%.

North Texas 67%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 12
South Florida at Army

American Athletic race: South Florida losing helps your spot in the standings.

South Florida 74%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Navy at Florida Atlantic

American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida Atlantic visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Navy 78%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Louisiana at USC

USC winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

USC 94%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
UTSA at Texas State

American Athletic race: UTSA losing helps your spot in the standings; Texas State visits your schedule in week 3 — keep them ranked.

Texas State 59%
42 more games that don't move your needle
South Alabama at Tulane
Memphis at Boise State
Rutgers at Boston College
Arkansas at Utah
Southern Miss at Auburn
Western Kentucky at Georgia
Alabama at Kentucky
Charlotte at Ole Miss
Mississippi State at Minnesota
Missouri at Kansas
Oklahoma at Michigan
Tennessee at Georgia Tech
Arizona State at Texas A&M
Delaware at Vanderbilt
Washington State at Kansas State
Oregon at Oklahoma State
Texas Tech at Oregon State
Iowa State at Iowa
UCF at Pittsburgh
Arizona at BYU
California at Syracuse
Duke at Illinois
Georgia Southern at Clemson
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech
Wake Forest at Purdue
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State
Bowling Green at Nebraska
Penn State at Temple
San Diego State at UCLA
Maryland at UConn
Utah State at Washington
Tulsa at Sam Houston
UL Monroe at UAB
App State at East Carolina
New Mexico State at Hawai'i
Buffalo at Florida International
Jacksonville State at Ohio
Louisiana Tech at LSU
Georgia State at Kennesaw State
Middle Tennessee at Marshall
Rice at Notre Dame
Ohio State at Texas · ABC

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.