North Texas Mean Green
0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 2 · 2026
37%
American title game
20%
Win the American
9%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.1
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-2 job: beat UNLV.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves North Texas's pathYour game
TBD
SAT SEP 12
UNLV at North Texas
Your game. Beat UNLV and your playoff odds are 11%; lose and they drop to 5%.
North Texas 72%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Navy at Florida Atlantic
American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida Atlantic visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Navy 72%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
South Florida at Army
American Athletic race: South Florida losing helps your spot in the standings.
South Florida 55%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
UTSA at Texas State
American Athletic race: UTSA losing helps your spot in the standings; Texas State visits your schedule in week 3 — keep them ranked.
Texas State 57%
43 more games that don't move your needle
Washington State at Kansas State
Rutgers at Boston College
Arkansas at Utah
Southern Miss at Auburn
Western Kentucky at Georgia
Alabama at Kentucky
Charlotte at Ole Miss
Mississippi State at Minnesota
Missouri at Kansas
Oklahoma at Michigan
Tennessee at Georgia Tech
Arizona State at Texas A&M
Delaware at Vanderbilt
Oregon at Oklahoma State
Texas Tech at Oregon State
Iowa State at Iowa
UCF at Pittsburgh
Arizona at BYU
California at Syracuse
Duke at Illinois
Georgia Southern at Clemson
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech
Wake Forest at Purdue
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State
Bowling Green at Nebraska
Penn State at Temple
San Diego State at UCLA
Maryland at UConn
Louisiana at USC
Utah State at Washington
Memphis at Boise State
Tulsa at Sam Houston
UL Monroe at UAB
App State at East Carolina
South Alabama at Tulane
New Mexico State at Hawai'i
Buffalo at Florida International
Jacksonville State at Ohio
Louisiana Tech at LSU
Georgia State at Kennesaw State
Middle Tennessee at Marshall
Rice at Notre Dame
Ohio State at Texas · ABC
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.