North Texas Mean Green
0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 1 · 2026
52%
American title game
25%
Win the American
8%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-1 job: beat Indiana.
If North Texas wins out: 61% to win the American, 33% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves North Texas's pathYour game
TBD
SAT SEP 5
North Texas at Indiana
Your game. Beat Indiana and your playoff odds are 14%; lose and they drop to 8%.
Indiana 93%
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 5
Tulane at Duke
American Athletic race: Tulane losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Tulane in week 12.
Duke 58%
Root for Duke+3.4 pp title-game odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
UAB at Illinois
Memphis at UNLV
Hawai'i at Stanford
San José State at USC
New Mexico State at Florida State
North Carolina at TCU · ESPN
NC State at Virginia · ESPN
Akron at Wake Forest
Massachusetts at Rutgers
Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Toledo at Michigan State
Fresno State at USC
San José State at Eastern Michigan
Miami at Stanford · ESPN
Florida Atlantic at Florida
UL Monroe at Mississippi State
UTEP at Oklahoma
Kent State at South Carolina
Texas State at Texas
Missouri State at Texas A&M
Oklahoma State at Tulsa
Boston College at Cincinnati
Oregon State at Houston
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh
UCLA at California
Northern Illinois at Iowa
Western Michigan at Michigan
Ohio at Nebraska
Ball State at Ohio State
Boise State at Oregon
Marshall at Penn State
Washington State at Washington
Wyoming at Colorado State
Arkansas State at Memphis
Florida International at South Florida
Western Kentucky at Nevada
UNLV at Hawai'i
Central Michigan at New Mexico
Liberty at James Madison
Sam Houston at Troy
East Carolina at Alabama · ABC
Baylor at Auburn · ABC
Clemson at LSU · ABC
Louisville at Ole Miss · ABC
Notre Dame at Wisconsin
SMU at Florida State · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.