North Texas Mean Green
0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
37%
American title game
20%
Win the American
9%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.1
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-8 job: beat Navy.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves North Texas's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 24
North Texas at Navy
Your game. Beat Navy and your playoff odds are 15%; lose and they drop to 4%.
North Texas 51%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
FRI OCT 23
Army at Tulsa
American Athletic race: Army losing helps your spot in the standings.
Army 78%
TBD
THU OCT 22
James Madison at App State
App State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
James Madison 88%
TBD
THU OCT 22
East Carolina at Memphis
American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings.
Memphis 56%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
UTSA at Tulane
American Athletic race: UTSA losing helps your spot in the standings; Tulane visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Tulane 54%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Pittsburgh at Miami
Pittsburgh winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Miami 87%
48 more games that don't move your needle
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
South Alabama at Marshall
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
Duke at Virginia
NC State at Stanford
Texas A&M at Alabama
LSU at Auburn
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Tennessee at South Carolina
Ole Miss at Texas
Baylor at Kansas
BYU at UCF
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Houston at Utah
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
West Virginia at TCU
California at SMU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Syracuse at North Carolina
Virginia Tech at Clemson
Oregon at Illinois
Indiana at Michigan
Iowa at Minnesota
Rutgers at Northwestern
Michigan State at UCLA
USC at Wisconsin
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
Rice at Florida Atlantic
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Louisiana at Southern Miss
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
UL Monroe at Troy
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.