🏈 Fan Watch

#7Alabama Crimson Tide

4–0 · 2–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2026
Week 5 pregame guide

Alabama's offensive line is banged up and Mississippi State is 4-0

Two Alabama starting linemen left the South Carolina rout hurt, and the trip to Starkville is a noon kickoff against a ranked, unbeaten Bulldogs team.

Read the rooting guide →
Alabama Crimson Tide wideout Ryan Williams scores the game winning touchdown against Georgia in 2024
Alabama Crimson Tide wideout Ryan Williams scores the game winning touchdown against Georgia in 2024
CreditPhoto creditThe University of AlabamaWikimedia Commons · CC BY 3.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Alabama at Mississippi State
…
…
ABC
Final
Alabama
Final · Alabama 56–23 Mississippi StateWish granted ✓
Mississippi State

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Alabama wanted
…
…
SEC Network
Impact 1
Rooted for
Vanderbilt
at
Georgia
Final · Vanderbilt 14–38 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Projected 6.3-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection43% if Vanderbilt won37% with the other result6.3-point differenceAlabama SEC title-game chance
…
…
ABC
Impact 2
Florida
at
Rooted for
Missouri
Final · Florida 17–45 MissouriWish granted ✓
Projected 2.1-point title-game boost

Florida lost, improving Alabama's place in the SEC standings.

Entering-week projection39% if Missouri won36% with the other result2.1-point differenceAlabama SEC title-game chance
…
…
FOX
Impact 3
Penn State
at
Rooted for
Northwestern
Final · Penn State 13–34 NorthwesternWish granted ✓
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Northwestern won, thinning out the at-large competition for Alabama's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection66% if Northwestern won65% with the other result1.3-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
52 other games had little impact
Miami at Clemson · ABC
BYU at TCU · ESPN
Ohio State at Iowa · CBS
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State · CBSSN
North Texas at Tulsa · ESPN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Liberty at Delaware · CBSSN
Memphis at Charlotte · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Kansas · ESPNU
UCF at Houston · ESPN2
West Virginia at Iowa State · TNT
Boston College at SMU · The CW Network
Notre Dame at North Carolina · ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn · CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota · FOX
Navy at Air Force · CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin · BTN
Western Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State · ESPN+
Auburn at Tennessee · ESPN
California at UNLV · CBSSN
Louisville at NC State · ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State · ESPN2
Wyoming at North Dakota State · The CW Network
Akron at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State · ESPN+
Marshall at James Madison · ESPNU
Maryland at Nebraska · FS1
UTEP at New Mexico · MW+
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois · BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State · USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M · ESPN2
UTSA at Rice · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Colorado · FOX
Washington at USC · NBC
Utah State at Boise State · CBSSN
Temple at South Florida · ESPNU
Army at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Indiana at Rutgers · BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State · USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State · ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State · The CW Network
Cincinnati at Arizona · FOX
San José State at Hawai'i · MW+
The rooting list was:Alabama, then Vanderbilt, Missouri, Northwestern.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.