๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#10Alabama Crimson Tide

2โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 3 ยท 2026
Week 3 pregame guide

Alabama can put its running game to work against Florida State

The Florida State rematch puts Alabama's rushing support, quarterback decisions and defensive discipline in focus.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
Alabama Crimson Tide wideout Ryan Williams scores the game winning touchdown against Georgia in 2024
Alabama Crimson Tide wideout Ryan Williams scores the game winning touchdown against Georgia in 2024
CreditPhoto creditThe University of AlabamaWikimedia Commons ยท CC BY 3.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Florida State at Alabama
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Final
Florida State
Final ยท Florida State 36โ€“50 AlabamaWish granted โœ“
Alabama

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Alabama wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Michigan State
at
Notre Dame
Final ยท Michigan State 10โ€“27 Notre DameWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.4-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection45% if Michigan State won42% with the other result3.4-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
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Impact 2
NC State
at
Rooted for
Vanderbilt
Final ยท NC State 31โ€“35 VanderbiltWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 11 game against Alabama.

Entering-week projection42% if Vanderbilt won40% with the other result1.7-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Kentucky
at
Texas A&M
Final ยท Kentucky 31โ€“21 Texas A&MWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.5-point title-game boost

Texas A&M lost, improving Alabama's place in the SEC standings.

Entering-week projection27% if Kentucky won25% with the other result2.5-point differenceAlabama SEC title-game chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
LSU
at
Ole Miss
Final ยท LSU 24โ€“32 Ole MissWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection43% if LSU won41% with the other result1.6-point differenceAlabama playoff chance
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Impact 5
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Arkansas
Final ยท Georgia 45โ€“17 ArkansasWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.9-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection27% if Arkansas won25% with the other result1.9-point differenceAlabama SEC title-game chance
51 other games had little impact
Marshall at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Syracuse at Pittsburgh ยท ESPN
Miami at Wake Forest ยท ESPN
Houston at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Coastal Carolina at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Tulane at Kansas State ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Iowa State ยท ESPNU
Arizona State at Kansas ยท FS1
North Carolina at Clemson ยท ESPN
Akron at Minnesota ยท BTN
Kent State at Ohio State ยท FOX
Buffalo at Penn State ยท BTN
North Texas at Texas State ยท USA Network
Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin ยท Peacock
Wyoming at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Temple at Toledo ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati ยท ESPN+
Utah State at Utah ยท FOX
SMU at Louisville ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Michigan ยท BTN
USC at Rutgers ยท CBS
Stanford at Duke ยท The CW Network
Western Kentucky at Indiana ยท Peacock
Ball State at Liberty ยท ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Baylor ยท ESPNU
Mississippi State at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
East Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Florida International at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Charlotte at App State ยท ESPN+
Florida at Auburn ยท ESPN
Troy at Missouri ยท SECN+
Georgia State at UCF ยท ESPN+
UConn at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Rice ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
Ohio at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Oklahoma ยท ESPN2
BYU at Colorado State ยท CBS
Colorado at Northwestern ยท FOX
West Virginia at Virginia ยท ACC Network
Virginia Tech at Maryland ยท FS1
Kennesaw State at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UTSA at Texas ยท SECN+
Arkansas State at TCU ยท ESPNU
UAB at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
James Madison at San Diego State ยท The CW Network
Northern Illinois at Arizona ยท TNT
North Dakota State at Sacramento State ยท ESPN
Purdue at UCLA ยท BTN
Fresno State at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Alabama, then Michigan State, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, LSU, Arkansas.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.