Alabama Crimson Tide
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 7 · 2026
16%
SEC title game
7%
Win the SEC
29%
Make the playoff
6%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.1
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-7 job: beat Tennessee.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Alabama's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Alabama at Tennessee
Your game. Beat Tennessee and your playoff odds are 41%; lose and they drop to 20%.
Tennessee 55%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Auburn at Georgia
Auburn visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Georgia 86%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Ball State at Bowling Green
Ball State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Bowling Green 79%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Penn State at Michigan
Michigan winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Penn State 53%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Missouri at Ole Miss
SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings.
Ole Miss 80%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Mississippi State at LSU
LSU visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
LSU 76%
51 more games that don't move your needle
Kentucky at Oklahoma
Florida International at Jacksonville State
Delaware at Middle Tennessee
Kennesaw State at Missouri State
Western Kentucky at Sam Houston
East Carolina at UAB
Georgia Southern at Old Dominion
Memphis at Tulane
App State at Coastal Carolina
Florida at Texas
Arkansas at Vanderbilt
Notre Dame at BYU
Arizona State at Texas Tech
Cincinnati at West Virginia
Kansas at Kansas State
Oklahoma State at Houston
TCU at Baylor
Utah at Colorado
Florida State at Miami
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
Louisville at Syracuse
North Carolina at Duke
Pittsburgh at Boston College
Virginia at SMU
Wake Forest at California
Ohio State at Indiana
Rutgers at Maryland
Northwestern at Michigan State
Nebraska at Oregon
Washington at Purdue
Wisconsin at UCLA
Washington State at Oregon State
Fresno State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Texas State
Florida Atlantic at Army
Charlotte at Temple
Navy at UTSA
Tulsa at Rice
Kent State at South Florida
New Mexico at Hawai'i
Northern Illinois at Wyoming
San José State at UTEP
UNLV at Air Force
Massachusetts at Buffalo
Western Michigan at Central Michigan
Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Akron at Miami (OH)
Arkansas State at Southern Miss
Georgia State at James Madison
Troy at Louisiana
Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.