Alabama Crimson Tide
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 11 · 2026
16%
SEC title game
7%
Win the SEC
29%
Make the playoff
6%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.1
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-11 job: beat Vanderbilt.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Alabama's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Alabama at Vanderbilt
Your game. Beat Vanderbilt and your playoff odds are 49%; lose and they drop to 18%.
Vanderbilt 63%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Minnesota at Penn State
Minnesota winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Penn State 88%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Auburn at Mississippi State
Auburn visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Auburn 57%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Colorado State at Washington State
Colorado State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Washington State 86%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Duke at Miami
Duke winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Miami 86%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Texas at LSU
SEC race: Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.
Texas 60%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Illinois at UCLA
Illinois winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Illinois 62%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Utah State at San Diego State
Utah State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
San Diego State 68%
57 more games that don't move your needle
Ole Miss at Oklahoma
Western Michigan at Akron
Kent State at Bowling Green
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Buffalo at Ball State
Massachusetts at Toledo
Memphis at South Florida
Louisiana at UL Monroe
Florida State at Pittsburgh
Arizona State at UCF
Baylor at BYU
Cincinnati at Iowa State
Houston at Colorado
Kansas at West Virginia
Kansas State at TCU
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
Utah at Arizona
South Carolina at Arkansas
Missouri at Georgia
Florida at Kentucky
Tennessee at Texas A&M
California at Virginia
Georgia Tech at Clemson
Louisville at North Carolina
Stanford at Virginia Tech
Syracuse at NC State
Wake Forest at SMU
USC at Indiana
Purdue at Iowa
Wisconsin at Maryland
Washington at Michigan State
Northwestern at Ohio State
Michigan at Oregon
Nebraska at Rutgers
Oregon State at Boise State
Fresno State at Texas State
James Madison at UConn
East Carolina at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
North Texas at UTSA
Tulane at Rice
UAB at Temple
Nevada at Northern Illinois
San José State at Air Force
UNLV at New Mexico
Wyoming at UTEP
App State at Marshall
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
New Mexico State at Missouri State
Florida International at Delaware
Middle Tennessee at Liberty
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Troy at South Alabama
Boston College at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.