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Alabama Crimson Tide

00 · 00 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 11 · 2026
24%
SEC title game
12%
Win the SEC
35%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-11 job: beat Vanderbilt.
Playoff odds by week

If Alabama wins out: 53% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Alabama's path
Your game
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Alabama at Vanderbilt

Your game. Beat Vanderbilt and your playoff odds are 56%; lose and they drop to 20%.

Vanderbilt 56%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Purdue at Iowa

Purdue winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 97%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Minnesota at Penn State

Minnesota winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 91%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Utah at Arizona

Arizona winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 70%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
USC at Indiana

Indiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Indiana 85%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Ole Miss at Oklahoma

Oklahoma winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ole Miss 56%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Missouri at Georgia

Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Georgia 85%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Texas at LSU

SEC race: Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.

Texas 63%
TBD
TUE NOV 10
Western Michigan at Akron

Akron winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Western Michigan 76%
56 more games that don't move your needle
Auburn at Mississippi State
Kent State at Bowling Green
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Buffalo at Ball State
Massachusetts at Toledo
Memphis at South Florida
Louisiana at UL Monroe
Florida State at Pittsburgh
Arizona State at UCF
Baylor at BYU
Cincinnati at Iowa State
Houston at Colorado
Kansas at West Virginia
Kansas State at TCU
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
South Carolina at Arkansas
Florida at Kentucky
Tennessee at Texas A&M
California at Virginia
Duke at Miami
Georgia Tech at Clemson
Louisville at North Carolina
Stanford at Virginia Tech
Syracuse at NC State
Wake Forest at SMU
Wisconsin at Maryland
Washington at Michigan State
Northwestern at Ohio State
Michigan at Oregon
Nebraska at Rutgers
Illinois at UCLA
Oregon State at Boise State
Utah State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Texas State
Colorado State at Washington State
James Madison at UConn
East Carolina at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
North Texas at UTSA
Tulane at Rice
UAB at Temple
Nevada at Northern Illinois
San José State at Air Force
UNLV at New Mexico
Wyoming at UTEP
App State at Marshall
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
New Mexico State at Missouri State
Florida International at Delaware
Middle Tennessee at Liberty
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Troy at South Alabama
Boston College at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.