Alabama Crimson Tide
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 10 · 2026
16%
SEC title game
7%
Win the SEC
29%
Make the playoff
6%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.1
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-10 job: beat LSU.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Alabama's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Alabama at LSU
Your game. Beat LSU and your playoff odds are 41%; lose and they drop to 15%.
Alabama 55%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Iowa at Northwestern
Northwestern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Iowa 69%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Arkansas at Auburn
Auburn visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Auburn 69%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State
Vanderbilt visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Vanderbilt 73%
57 more games that don't move your needle
Oregon at Ohio State
Ohio at Akron
Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Ball State at Massachusetts
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
UTSA at Florida Atlantic
James Madison at Southern Miss
TCU at Arizona
Virginia Tech at SMU
South Florida at East Carolina
Oklahoma at Florida
Georgia at Ole Miss
Texas at Missouri
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Kentucky at Tennessee
BYU at Utah
UCF at Kansas
Cincinnati at Houston
Colorado at Arizona State
Iowa State at Baylor
Oklahoma State at Kansas State
West Virginia at Texas Tech
Clemson at Syracuse
Duke at NC State
Louisville at Georgia Tech
Florida State at Boston College
North Carolina at UConn
Nebraska at Illinois
Michigan State at Michigan
UCLA at Minnesota
Maryland at Purdue
Penn State at Washington
Rutgers at Wisconsin
Boise State at Colorado State
Texas State at Oregon State
Fresno State at Utah State
Charlotte at UAB
Temple at Navy
Rice at North Texas
Tulsa at Tulane
Air Force at Army
Hawai'i at UTEP
New Mexico at Nevada
Northern Illinois at San José State
Wyoming at UNLV
Georgia State at App State
UL Monroe at Arkansas State
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina
Marshall at Georgia Southern
South Alabama at Louisiana
Liberty at New Mexico State
Delaware at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Florida International
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Louisiana Tech at Troy
Miami at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.