Alabama Crimson Tide
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 13 · 2026
16%
SEC title game
7%
Win the SEC
29%
Make the playoff
6%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.1
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-13 job: beat Auburn.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Alabama's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Auburn at Alabama
Your game. Beat Auburn and your playoff odds are 36%; lose and they drop to 10%.
Alabama 75%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Coastal Carolina at James Madison
Coastal Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
James Madison 96%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Penn State at Maryland
Maryland winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Penn State 83%
…
… · ABC
Mississippi State at Ole Miss
SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings.
Ole Miss 92%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky
Kennesaw State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Western Kentucky 69%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
USC at UCLA
UCLA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
USC 81%
57 more games that don't move your needle
Texas at Texas A&M · ABC
Kent State at Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
TCU at Texas Tech · ESPN
Nebraska at Iowa
Florida Atlantic at East Carolina
Temple at Memphis
Tulane at South Florida
Buffalo at Akron
Toledo at Ohio
App State at South Alabama
Florida at Florida State · ABC
LSU at Arkansas
Georgia Tech at Georgia
Louisville at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Missouri
South Carolina at Clemson
Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Arizona State at Arizona
Baylor at Houston
UCF at Colorado
Cincinnati at BYU
Kansas at Oklahoma State
Kansas State at Iowa State
West Virginia at Utah
Boston College at Miami
Duke at Wake Forest
NC State at North Carolina
Notre Dame at Syracuse
Pittsburgh at California
SMU at Stanford
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Northwestern at Illinois
Purdue at Indiana
Michigan at Ohio State
Washington at Oregon
Michigan State at Rutgers
Minnesota at Wisconsin
UConn at Wyoming
Tulsa at UTSA
Army at Rice
Navy at Charlotte
UAB at North Texas
Air Force at New Mexico
Nevada at UNLV
UTEP at Northern Illinois
Central Michigan at Ball State
Massachusetts at Bowling Green
Troy at Arkansas State
Louisiana Tech at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Georgia State
Jacksonville State at Delaware
Liberty at Missouri State
Sam Houston at Florida International
New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee
Marshall at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Old Dominion
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.