The Sun Belt race
14 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 13 · 2026
Week 13 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 13.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 13; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Madison | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.9–1.1 | 79% | 62% | 36% |
 Old Dominion | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.8–2.2 | 46% | 20% | 5% |
 Louisiana Tech | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.7–3.3 | 16% | 4% | <1% |
 Marshall | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.8–3.2 | 14% | 4% | <1% |
 Troy | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–3.8 | 9% | 2% | <1% |
 Louisiana | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–3.5 | 10% | 2% | <1% |
 South Alabama | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–3.8 | 7% | 2% | <1% |
 Arkansas State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.3–3.7 | 8% | 2% | <1% |
 Georgia Southern | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–4.6 | 4% | 1% | <1% |
 Southern Miss | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–4.8 | 3% | <1% | <1% |
 App State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.1–4.9 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Coastal Carolina | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.6–5.4 | 1% | <1% | 0% |
 Georgia State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 UL Monroe | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.0–6.0 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.