The ACC race
17 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 2 · 2026
17 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 2; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #7Miami | 1–0 | 1–0 | 8.1–0.9 | 87% | 65% | 74% |
 #17SMU | 1–0 | 1–0 | 7.5–1.5 | 46% | 16% | 22% |
 #25Virginia | 1–0 | 1–0 | 6.4–2.6 | 16% | 5% | 7% |
 NC State | 0–1 | 0–1 | 4.6–4.4 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Florida State | 0–1 | 1–1 | 3.0–5.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Stanford | 0–1 | 1–1 | 2.1–6.9 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
 #24Louisville | 0–0 | 0–1 | 6.3–2.7 | 21% | 6% | 9% |
 Pittsburgh | 0–0 | 1–0 | 6.2–2.8 | 18% | 6% | 8% |
 Duke | 0–0 | 1–0 | 5.2–3.8 | 5% | 1% | 2% |
 Clemson | 0–0 | 0–1 | 4.3–3.7 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Georgia Tech | 0–0 | 0–1 | 4.3–3.7 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Wake Forest | 0–0 | 1–0 | 3.6–5.4 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Virginia Tech | 0–0 | 1–0 | 3.0–6.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 North Carolina | 0–0 | 1–0 | 2.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Boston College | 0–0 | 0–1 | 2.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 California | 0–0 | 0–1 | 2.9–6.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Syracuse | 0–0 | 1–0 | 2.0–7.0 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.