🏈 Fan Watch

#9Ole Miss Rebels

3–1 · 1–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2026
The Week 5 recap

Pete Golding questioned his defense's courage, and now Ole Miss has two weeks to answer

Florida ran for 302 yards and six touchdowns in a 52-28 rout. The bye gives Ole Miss time to fix it, plus four SEC games worth watching Saturday.

Read the rooting guide →
Sunset at Ole Miss football game at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on September 21, 2024
Sunset at Ole Miss football game at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on September 21, 2024
CreditPhoto creditBleon19Wikimedia Commons · CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ole Miss wanted
…
…
ABC
Impact 1
Alabama
at
Rooted for
Mississippi State
Final · Alabama 56–23 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.6-point playoff boost

Alabama won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if Mississippi State won33% with the other result2.6-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
…
…
ESPN
Impact 2
Rooted for
Auburn
at
Tennessee
Final · Auburn 14–24 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.4-point playoff boost

Tennessee won instead, so Ole Miss did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection35% if Auburn won33% with the other result2.4-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
…
…
FOX
Impact 3
Michigan
at
Rooted for
Minnesota
Final · Michigan 14–20 MinnesotaWish granted ✓
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Minnesota won, thinning out the at-large competition for Ole Miss's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection35% if Minnesota won33% with the other result1.5-point differenceOle Miss playoff chance
53 other games had little impact
Florida at Missouri · ABC
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State · CBSSN
North Texas at Tulsa · ESPN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Liberty at Delaware · CBSSN
Penn State at Northwestern · FOX
Memphis at Charlotte · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Kansas · ESPNU
UCF at Houston · ESPN2
West Virginia at Iowa State · TNT
Boston College at SMU · The CW Network
Notre Dame at North Carolina · ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn · CBSSN
Navy at Air Force · CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin · BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia · SEC Network
Western Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State · ESPN+
California at UNLV · CBSSN
Louisville at NC State · ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State · ESPN2
Ohio State at Iowa · CBS
Wyoming at North Dakota State · The CW Network
Akron at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State · ESPN+
Marshall at James Madison · ESPNU
Maryland at Nebraska · FS1
UTEP at New Mexico · MW+
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois · BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State · USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M · ESPN2
BYU at TCU · ESPN
UTSA at Rice · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Colorado · FOX
Miami at Clemson · ABC
Washington at USC · NBC
Utah State at Boise State · CBSSN
Temple at South Florida · ESPNU
Army at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Indiana at Rutgers · BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State · USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State · ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State · The CW Network
Cincinnati at Arizona · FOX
San José State at Hawai'i · MW+
The rooting list was:Ole Miss is off, then Mississippi State, Auburn, Minnesota.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.