Ole Miss Rebels

0–0 · 0–0 SEC

Way too early

WEEK 12 · 2026

37%

SEC title game

21%

Win the SEC

61%

Make the playoff

23%

First-round bye

avg seed 5.8

Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-12 job: beat Wofford.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

If Ole Miss wins out: 61% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ole Miss's path

Your game

TBD

Wofford at Ole Miss

Your game. Just win — and don't let it get interesting.

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

FRI NOV 20

Oregon at Michigan State

Michigan State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Oregon 87%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Texas Tech at Baylor

Baylor winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas Tech 81%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Maryland at USC

Maryland winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

USC 90%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Rutgers at Penn State

Rutgers winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 90%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Iowa at Illinois

Illinois winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 68%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Indiana at Washington

Indiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Indiana 77%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Vanderbilt at Florida

SEC race: Vanderbilt losing helps your spot in the standings.

Vanderbilt 64%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Georgia at South Carolina

SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings.

Georgia 69%

57 more games that don't move your needle

Texas A&M at Oklahoma

Ohio State at Nebraska

North Texas at Tulane

LSU at Tennessee

Arizona at Kansas State

Ball State at Ohio

Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan

Miami (OH) at Kent State

Akron at Massachusetts

Bowling Green at Toledo

Central Michigan at Buffalo

Rice at Temple

Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech

Clemson at Duke

Kentucky at Missouri

Arkansas at Texas

BYU at Kansas

Colorado at Cincinnati

Houston at West Virginia

Iowa State at UCF

Oklahoma State at Arizona State

Utah at TCU

Virginia Tech at Miami

NC State at Florida State

North Carolina at Virginia

Pittsburgh at Louisville

Stanford at California

Syracuse at Boston College

Wake Forest at Georgia Tech

UCLA at Michigan

Northwestern at Minnesota

Wisconsin at Purdue

Colorado State at Fresno State

Utah State at Oregon State

Washington State at Texas State

San Diego State at Boise State

Old Dominion at UConn

East Carolina at Army

Charlotte at Tulsa

South Florida at Florida Atlantic

Memphis at Navy

UTSA at UAB

Hawai'i at Nevada

New Mexico at Wyoming

UNLV at San José State

UTEP at Air Force

UL Monroe at App State

Coastal Carolina at Louisiana

Georgia Southern at Troy

Georgia State at Marshall

Delaware at New Mexico State

Florida International at Kennesaw State

Missouri State at Jacksonville State

Western Kentucky at Liberty

Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston

South Alabama at Southern Miss

SMU at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.