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Ole Miss Rebels

00 · 00 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 4 · 2026
37%
SEC title game
21%
Win the SEC
61%
Make the playoff
23%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.8
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-4 job: beat Florida.
Playoff odds by week

If Ole Miss wins out: 61% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ole Miss's path
Your game
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Ole Miss at Florida

Your game. Beat Florida and your playoff odds are 66%; lose and they drop to 48%.

Ole Miss 73%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Texas A&M at LSU

SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings.

Texas A&M 56%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Vanderbilt at Auburn

SEC race: Vanderbilt losing helps your spot in the standings; Auburn visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Vanderbilt 57%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Texas at Tennessee

Texas visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.

Texas 51%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Oklahoma at Georgia

SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings; Oklahoma visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Georgia 79%
52 more games that don't move your needle
Louisiana at Charlotte
Missouri at Mississippi State
Oregon at USC
Liberty at Coastal Carolina
Clemson at California
Navy at UAB
South Carolina at Alabama
Tulsa at Arkansas
Arizona at Washington State
Sam Houston at Texas Tech
Houston at Georgia Southern
Colorado at Baylor
Kansas State at Cincinnati
TCU at UCF
Utah at Iowa State
Oklahoma State at West Virginia
Central Michigan at Miami
Delaware at Virginia
Georgia Tech at Stanford
Missouri State at SMU
Virginia Tech at Boston College
Wake Forest at Louisville
Northwestern at Indiana
UCLA at Maryland
Iowa at Michigan
Nebraska at Michigan State
Illinois at Ohio State
Wisconsin at Penn State
Notre Dame at Purdue
Minnesota at Washington
Rice at Fresno State
San Diego State at Toledo
Troy at Utah State
Oregon State at UTEP
Colorado State at UTSA
Boise State at Western Michigan
UConn at Miami (OH)
Army at Temple
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Tulane
South Florida at Bowling Green
Air Force at Nevada
Hawai'i at Wyoming
Northern Illinois at Georgia State
UNLV at Akron
App State at NC State
South Alabama at Kentucky
New Mexico at New Mexico State
Ball State at Kent State
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State
James Madison at Old Dominion
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.