Ole Miss Rebels
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 1 · 2026
37%
SEC title game
21%
Win the SEC
61%
Make the playoff
23%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.8
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-1 job: beat Louisville.
If Ole Miss wins out: 61% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Ole Miss's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
Louisville at Ole Miss
Your game. Beat Louisville and your playoff odds are 65%; lose and they drop to 49%.
Ole Miss 79%
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
East Carolina at Alabama
East Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Alabama 89%
Root for East Carolina+1.9 pp playoff odds
TBD
FRI SEP 4
Fresno State at USC
Fresno State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
USC 89%
Root for Fresno State+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
Baylor at Auburn
Auburn visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Auburn 72%
Root for Auburn+1.5 pp playoff odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Hawai'i at Stanford
Memphis at UNLV
San José State at USC
New Mexico State at Florida State
North Carolina at TCU · ESPN
NC State at Virginia · ESPN
Akron at Wake Forest
Massachusetts at Rutgers
Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Toledo at Michigan State
San José State at Eastern Michigan
Miami at Stanford · ESPN
Florida Atlantic at Florida
UL Monroe at Mississippi State
UTEP at Oklahoma
Kent State at South Carolina
Texas State at Texas
Missouri State at Texas A&M
Oklahoma State at Tulsa
Boston College at Cincinnati
Oregon State at Houston
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh
Tulane at Duke
UCLA at California
UAB at Illinois
North Texas at Indiana
Northern Illinois at Iowa
Western Michigan at Michigan
Ohio at Nebraska
Ball State at Ohio State
Boise State at Oregon
Marshall at Penn State
Washington State at Washington
Wyoming at Colorado State
Arkansas State at Memphis
Florida International at South Florida
Western Kentucky at Nevada
UNLV at Hawai'i
Central Michigan at New Mexico
Liberty at James Madison
Sam Houston at Troy
Clemson at LSU · ABC
Notre Dame at Wisconsin
SMU at Florida State · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.