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Ole Miss Rebels

00 · 00 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
37%
SEC title game
21%
Win the SEC
61%
Make the playoff
23%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.8
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-6 job: beat Vanderbilt.
Playoff odds by week

If Ole Miss wins out: 61% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ole Miss's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

Your game. Beat Vanderbilt and your playoff odds are 72%; lose and they drop to 50%.

Ole Miss 50%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Georgia at Alabama

Georgia visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Georgia 56%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Texas A&M at Missouri

SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings; Missouri visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.

Missouri 51%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Maryland at Ohio State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Maryland winning protects it.

Ohio State 96%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
South Carolina at Florida

SEC race: South Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings.

Florida 52%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Tulane at Army

Army winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Army 62%
50 more games that don't move your needle
Indiana at Nebraska
Texas at Oklahoma
Tennessee at Arkansas
LSU at Kentucky
Southern Miss at Troy
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Florida International
South Florida at UTSA
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Sam Houston at Liberty
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Florida State at Louisville
Washington State at Utah State
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Arizona at West Virginia
UCF at Oklahoma State
Houston at Kansas State
Iowa State at BYU
Kansas at Utah
Duke at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Ball State at Northwestern
UCLA at Oregon
USC at Penn State
Minnesota at Purdue
Iowa at Washington
Boise State at Fresno State
San Diego State at Oregon State
UConn at Temple
Charlotte at North Texas
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Nevada at UTEP
Wyoming at San José State
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Buffalo at Toledo
Central Michigan at Ohio
Kent State at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Old Dominion at App State
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Stanford at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.