Louisville Cardinals
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 5 · 2026
29%
ACC title game
11%
Win the ACC
9%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.6
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-5 job: beat NC State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Louisville's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Louisville at NC State
Your game. Beat NC State and your playoff odds are 12%; lose and they drop to 3%.
Louisville 65%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Boston College at SMU
ACC race: SMU losing helps your spot in the standings.
SMU 93%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Miami at Clemson
Clemson winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Miami 64%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Marshall at James Madison
Marshall winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
James Madison 92%
51 more games that don't move your needle
Virginia at Florida State
North Texas at Tulsa
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
Penn State at Northwestern
Liberty at Delaware
Vanderbilt at Georgia
Alabama at Mississippi State
Florida at Missouri
Kentucky at South Carolina
Auburn at Tennessee
Arkansas at Texas A&M
Middle Tennessee at Kansas
Baylor at Arizona State
BYU at TCU
UCF at Houston
Cincinnati at Arizona
Texas Tech at Colorado
West Virginia at Iowa State
California at UNLV
Notre Dame at North Carolina
Stanford at Wake Forest
Syracuse at UConn
Purdue at Illinois
Ohio State at Iowa
Michigan at Minnesota
Maryland at Nebraska
Indiana at Rutgers
Washington at USC
Michigan State at Wisconsin
Utah State at Boise State
Oregon State at Colorado State
Texas State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Washington State
Memphis at Charlotte
UTSA at Rice
Navy at Air Force
Temple at South Florida
San José State at Hawai'i
UTEP at New Mexico
Akron at Central Michigan
Toledo at Ball State
Western Michigan at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts
Ohio at Kent State
Bowling Green at Miami (OH)
Army at Louisiana Tech
Arkansas State at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
Old Dominion at Georgia State
UL Monroe at South Alabama
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.