Louisville Cardinals
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
29%
ACC title game
11%
Win the ACC
9%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.6
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-6 job: beat Florida State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Louisville's pathYour game
TBD
FRI OCT 9
Florida State at Louisville
Your game. Beat Florida State and your playoff odds are 11%; lose and they drop to 3%.
Louisville 77%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
THU OCT 8
South Florida at UTSA
UTSA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
South Florida 67%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
ACC race: Pittsburgh losing helps your spot in the standings; North Carolina visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Pittsburgh 86%
53 more games that don't move your needle
Duke at Georgia Tech
Southern Miss at Troy
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Florida International
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Sam Houston at Liberty
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Washington State at Utah State
Georgia at Alabama
Tennessee at Arkansas
South Carolina at Florida
LSU at Kentucky
Texas A&M at Missouri
Texas at Oklahoma
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Arizona at West Virginia
UCF at Oklahoma State
Houston at Kansas State
Iowa State at BYU
Kansas at Utah
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Indiana at Nebraska
Ball State at Northwestern
Maryland at Ohio State
UCLA at Oregon
USC at Penn State
Minnesota at Purdue
Iowa at Washington
Boise State at Fresno State
San Diego State at Oregon State
UConn at Temple
Tulane at Army
Charlotte at North Texas
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Nevada at UTEP
Wyoming at San José State
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Buffalo at Toledo
Central Michigan at Ohio
Kent State at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Old Dominion at App State
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Stanford at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.