๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#16Louisville Cardinals

2โ€“1 ยท 1โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 4 ยท 2026
Week 4 pregame guide

Louisville's defense keeps taking the ball away instead of stopping people

Louisville is 1-0 in the ACC after beating SMU 41-31, but the defense gave up 479 yards and now gets Gio Lopez with Tayon Holloway's status unsettled.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
Louisville players take the field before a 2024 home game.
Louisville players take the field before a 2024 home game.
CreditPhoto creditU.S. Air National Guard photo by Phil SpeckWikimedia Commons ยท Public domainCropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Wake Forest at Louisville
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Final
Wake Forest
Final ยท Wake Forest 30โ€“27 LouisvilleWent the other way โœ—
Louisville

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Louisville wanted
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 1
Rooted for
Missouri State
at
SMU
Final ยท Missouri State 24โ€“34 SMUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.6-point title-game boost

SMU won instead, so Louisville did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection42% if Missouri State won39% with the other result2.6-point differenceLouisville ACC title-game chance
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โ€ฆ
Impact 2
Clemson
at
Rooted for
California
Final ยท Clemson 24โ€“10 CaliforniaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

Clemson won instead, so Louisville did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection41% if California won39% with the other result2.3-point differenceLouisville ACC title-game chance
55 other games had little impact
Liberty at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN
Army at Temple ยท ESPN
Navy at UAB ยท ESPN
Northwestern at Indiana ยท FOX
Texas at Tennessee ยท ABC
Sam Houston at Texas Tech ยท TNT
Colorado at Baylor ยท ESPN2
Virginia Tech at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Illinois at Ohio State ยท FOX
San Diego State at Toledo ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at UTSA ยท ESPNU
UNLV at Akron ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Kent State ยท ESPN+
South Alabama at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
UCLA at Maryland ยท BTN
Notre Dame at Purdue ยท Peacock
Northern Illinois at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Hawai'i at Wyoming ยท The CW Network
Ole Miss at Florida ยท ABC
Oklahoma at Georgia ยท ESPN
TCU at UCF ยท FS1
Utah at Iowa State ยท FOX
Iowa at Michigan ยท CBS
Boise State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN2
UConn at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Houston at Georgia Southern ยท ESPNU
Vanderbilt at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Nebraska at Michigan State ยท BTN
Wisconsin at Penn State ยท ERADM
South Florida at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Delaware at Virginia ยท ACC Network
James Madison at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Miami ยท The CW Network
Louisiana at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
South Carolina at Alabama ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Oklahoma State at West Virginia ยท FS1
Southern Miss at Tulane ยท ESPN+
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU ยท ABC
Arizona at Washington State ยท CBS
Oregon at USC ยท NBC
Troy at Utah State ยท CBSSN
App State at NC State ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Tulsa at Arkansas ยท SECN+
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Oregon State at UTEP ยท MW+
Massachusetts at Sacramento State ยท ESPN+
Rice at Fresno State ยท The CW Network
Georgia Tech at Stanford ยท ESPN
Air Force at Nevada ยท FS1
Minnesota at Washington ยท FOX
The rooting list was:Louisville, then Missouri State, California.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.