Louisville Cardinals
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 4 · 2026
29%
ACC title game
11%
Win the ACC
9%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.6
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-4 job: beat Wake Forest.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Louisville's pathYour game
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Wake Forest at Louisville
Your game. Beat Wake Forest and your playoff odds are 10%; lose and they drop to 3%.
Louisville 81%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Sam Houston at Texas Tech
Texas Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Texas Tech 100%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Missouri State at SMU
ACC race: SMU losing helps your spot in the standings.
SMU 94%
TBD
FRI SEP 25
Clemson at California
ACC race: Clemson losing helps your spot in the standings.
Clemson 81%
53 more games that don't move your needle
South Florida at Bowling Green
Georgia Tech at Stanford
Liberty at Coastal Carolina
Navy at UAB
South Carolina at Alabama
Tulsa at Arkansas
Vanderbilt at Auburn
Ole Miss at Florida
Oklahoma at Georgia
Texas A&M at LSU
Missouri at Mississippi State
Texas at Tennessee
Arizona at Washington State
Houston at Georgia Southern
Colorado at Baylor
Kansas State at Cincinnati
TCU at UCF
Utah at Iowa State
Oklahoma State at West Virginia
Central Michigan at Miami
Delaware at Virginia
Virginia Tech at Boston College
Northwestern at Indiana
UCLA at Maryland
Iowa at Michigan
Nebraska at Michigan State
Illinois at Ohio State
Wisconsin at Penn State
Notre Dame at Purdue
Oregon at USC
Minnesota at Washington
Rice at Fresno State
San Diego State at Toledo
Troy at Utah State
Oregon State at UTEP
Colorado State at UTSA
Boise State at Western Michigan
UConn at Miami (OH)
Army at Temple
Louisiana at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Tulane
Air Force at Nevada
Hawai'i at Wyoming
Northern Illinois at Georgia State
UNLV at Akron
App State at NC State
South Alabama at Kentucky
New Mexico at New Mexico State
Ball State at Kent State
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State
James Madison at Old Dominion
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.