๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#23Louisville Cardinals

1โ€“1 ยท 0โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 3 ยท 2026
The Week 3 recap

Louisville beat SMU. Playoff odds moved from 9% to 17%.

Your game

SMU at Louisville
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Final
SMU
Final ยท SMU 31โ€“41 LouisvilleWish granted โœ“
Louisville

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Louisville wanted
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Impact 1
Miami
at
Rooted for
Wake Forest
Final ยท Miami 33โ€“20 Wake ForestWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.7-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Louisville did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection12% if Wake Forest won9% with the other result2.7-point differenceLouisville playoff chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Syracuse
at
Pittsburgh
Final ยท Syracuse 13โ€“27 PittsburghWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.1-point title-game boost

Pittsburgh won instead, so Louisville did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection23% if Syracuse won21% with the other result2.1-point differenceLouisville ACC title-game chance
54 other games had little impact
Stanford at Duke ยท The CW Network
Houston at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Coastal Carolina at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Georgia at Arkansas ยท ABC
Tulane at Kansas State ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Iowa State ยท ESPNU
Arizona State at Kansas ยท FS1
North Carolina at Clemson ยท ESPN
Akron at Minnesota ยท BTN
Kent State at Ohio State ยท FOX
Buffalo at Penn State ยท BTN
North Texas at Texas State ยท USA Network
Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin ยท Peacock
NC State at Vanderbilt ยท SEC Network
Wyoming at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Temple at Toledo ยท CBSSN
Florida State at Alabama ยท ABC
Kentucky at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati ยท ESPN+
Utah State at Utah ยท FOX
UTEP at Michigan ยท BTN
USC at Rutgers ยท CBS
Western Kentucky at Indiana ยท Peacock
Ball State at Liberty ยท ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Baylor ยท ESPNU
Mississippi State at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
East Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Florida International at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Charlotte at App State ยท ESPN+
Marshall at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Florida at Auburn ยท ESPN
Troy at Missouri ยท SECN+
Georgia State at UCF ยท ESPN+
UConn at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Rice ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
Ohio at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss ยท ABC
New Mexico at Oklahoma ยท ESPN2
BYU at Colorado State ยท CBS
Colorado at Northwestern ยท FOX
West Virginia at Virginia ยท ACC Network
Virginia Tech at Maryland ยท FS1
Michigan State at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Kennesaw State at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UTSA at Texas ยท SECN+
Arkansas State at TCU ยท ESPNU
UAB at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
James Madison at San Diego State ยท The CW Network
Northern Illinois at Arizona ยท TNT
North Dakota State at Sacramento State ยท ESPN
Purdue at UCLA ยท BTN
Fresno State at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Louisville, then Wake Forest, Syracuse.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.