๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#5Miami Hurricanes

2โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 3 ยท 2026
Week 3 pregame guide

Miami takes a strong position and a changed secondary to Wake Forest

Miami is favored at Wake Forest. Fitzgerald and Dunnigan face new coverage demands, while Saturday offers a plausible ACC favor from Louisville and three long-shot upsets to pull for.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
Miami faces Indiana in a packed stadium during the 2026 national championship game.
Miami faces Indiana in the 2026 national championship game.
CreditPhoto creditTresForBeWikimedia Commons ยท CC0 1.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Miami at Wake Forest
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Final
Miami
Final ยท Miami 33โ€“20 Wake ForestWish granted โœ“
Wake Forest

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Miami wanted
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Impact 1
USC
at
Rooted for
Rutgers
Final ยท USC 42โ€“35 RutgersWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

USC won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection83% if Rutgers won81% with the other result1.8-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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Impact 2
SMU
at
Rooted for
Louisville
Final ยท SMU 31โ€“41 LouisvilleWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Louisville won, thinning out the at-large competition for Miami's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection82% if Louisville won80% with the other result1.5-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Kennesaw State
at
Tennessee
Final ยท Kennesaw State 9โ€“42 TennesseeWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.7-point first-round-bye boost

Tennessee won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection37% if Kennesaw State won34% with the other result2.7-point differenceMiami first-round bye chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Florida State
at
Alabama
Final ยท Florida State 36โ€“50 AlabamaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.2-point first-round-bye boost

Alabama won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if Florida State won34% with the other result2.2-point differenceMiami first-round bye chance
52 other games had little impact
Stanford at Duke ยท The CW Network
Syracuse at Pittsburgh ยท ESPN
Houston at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Coastal Carolina at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Georgia at Arkansas ยท ABC
Tulane at Kansas State ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Iowa State ยท ESPNU
Arizona State at Kansas ยท FS1
North Carolina at Clemson ยท ESPN
Akron at Minnesota ยท BTN
Kent State at Ohio State ยท FOX
Buffalo at Penn State ยท BTN
North Texas at Texas State ยท USA Network
Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin ยท Peacock
NC State at Vanderbilt ยท SEC Network
Wyoming at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Temple at Toledo ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati ยท ESPN+
Utah State at Utah ยท FOX
UTEP at Michigan ยท BTN
Western Kentucky at Indiana ยท Peacock
Ball State at Liberty ยท ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Baylor ยท ESPNU
Mississippi State at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
East Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Florida International at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Charlotte at App State ยท ESPN+
Marshall at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Florida at Auburn ยท ESPN
Troy at Missouri ยท SECN+
Georgia State at UCF ยท ESPN+
UConn at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Rice ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
Ohio at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss ยท ABC
New Mexico at Oklahoma ยท ESPN2
BYU at Colorado State ยท CBS
Colorado at Northwestern ยท FOX
West Virginia at Virginia ยท ACC Network
Virginia Tech at Maryland ยท FS1
Michigan State at Notre Dame ยท NBC
UTSA at Texas ยท SECN+
Arkansas State at TCU ยท ESPNU
UAB at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
James Madison at San Diego State ยท The CW Network
Northern Illinois at Arizona ยท TNT
North Dakota State at Sacramento State ยท ESPN
Purdue at UCLA ยท BTN
Fresno State at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Miami, then Rutgers, Louisville, Kennesaw State, Florida State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.