Miami Hurricanes
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 1 · 2026
67%
ACC title game
47%
Win the ACC
55%
Make the playoff
11%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.1
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-1 job: beat Stanford.
If Miami wins out: 73% to win the ACC, 96% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Miami's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
Miami at Stanford
Your game. Beat Stanford and your playoff odds are 58%; lose and they drop to 35%.
Miami 88%
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN
SMU at Florida State
ACC race: SMU losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida State visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
SMU 64%
Root for Florida State+7.8 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
FRI SEP 4
Fresno State at USC
Fresno State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
USC 89%
Root for Fresno State+2.0 pp playoff odds
TBD
SAT SEP 5
UNLV at Hawai'i
UNLV winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
UNLV 53%
Root for UNLV+1.7 pp playoff odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Clemson at LSU · ABC
East Carolina at Alabama · ABC
North Carolina at TCU · ESPN
Hawai'i at Stanford
Memphis at UNLV
San José State at USC
New Mexico State at Florida State
NC State at Virginia · ESPN
Akron at Wake Forest
Massachusetts at Rutgers
Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Toledo at Michigan State
San José State at Eastern Michigan
Florida Atlantic at Florida
UL Monroe at Mississippi State
UTEP at Oklahoma
Kent State at South Carolina
Texas State at Texas
Missouri State at Texas A&M
Oklahoma State at Tulsa
Boston College at Cincinnati
Oregon State at Houston
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh
Tulane at Duke
UCLA at California
UAB at Illinois
North Texas at Indiana
Northern Illinois at Iowa
Western Michigan at Michigan
Ohio at Nebraska
Ball State at Ohio State
Boise State at Oregon
Marshall at Penn State
Washington State at Washington
Wyoming at Colorado State
Arkansas State at Memphis
Florida International at South Florida
Western Kentucky at Nevada
Central Michigan at New Mexico
Liberty at James Madison
Sam Houston at Troy
Baylor at Auburn · ABC
Louisville at Ole Miss · ABC
Notre Dame at Wisconsin
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.