Miami Hurricanes

0–0 · 0–0 ACC

Way too early

WEEK 5 · 2026

68%

ACC title game

47%

Win the ACC

69%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 7.9

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-5 job: beat Clemson.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5

If Miami wins out: 74% to win the ACC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Miami's path

Your game

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Miami at Clemson

Your game. Beat Clemson and your playoff odds are 81%; lose and they drop to 48%.

Miami 64%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Boston College at SMU

ACC race: SMU losing helps your spot in the standings; Boston College visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

SMU 93%

TBD

FRI OCT 2

Penn State at Northwestern

Northwestern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 83%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Ohio State at Iowa

Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ohio State 67%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Virginia at Florida State

ACC race: Virginia losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida State visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.

Florida State 52%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Louisville at NC State

ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings.

Louisville 65%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Vanderbilt at Georgia

Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Georgia 77%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Stanford at Wake Forest

Stanford winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Wake Forest 76%

47 more games that don't move your needle

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech

North Texas at Tulsa

Western Kentucky at New Mexico State

Liberty at Delaware

Alabama at Mississippi State

Florida at Missouri

Kentucky at South Carolina

Auburn at Tennessee

Arkansas at Texas A&M

Middle Tennessee at Kansas

Baylor at Arizona State

BYU at TCU

UCF at Houston

Cincinnati at Arizona

Texas Tech at Colorado

West Virginia at Iowa State

California at UNLV

Notre Dame at North Carolina

Syracuse at UConn

Purdue at Illinois

Michigan at Minnesota

Maryland at Nebraska

Indiana at Rutgers

Washington at USC

Michigan State at Wisconsin

Utah State at Boise State

Oregon State at Colorado State

Texas State at San Diego State

Fresno State at Washington State

Memphis at Charlotte

UTSA at Rice

Navy at Air Force

Temple at South Florida

San José State at Hawai'i

UTEP at New Mexico

Akron at Central Michigan

Toledo at Ball State

Western Michigan at Buffalo

Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts

Ohio at Kent State

Bowling Green at Miami (OH)

Army at Louisiana Tech

Arkansas State at Louisiana

Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina

Old Dominion at Georgia State

Marshall at James Madison

UL Monroe at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.