Miami Hurricanes
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 5 · 2026
67%
ACC title game
47%
Win the ACC
55%
Make the playoff
11%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.1
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-5 job: beat Clemson.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Miami's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Miami at Clemson
Your game. Beat Clemson and your playoff odds are 66%; lose and they drop to 38%.
Miami 62%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Boston College at SMU
Boston College visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
SMU 90%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Virginia at Florida State
ACC race: Virginia losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida State visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Florida State 54%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Louisville at NC State
NC State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Louisville 51%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Bowling Green at Miami (OH)
Bowling Green winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Miami (OH) 72%
50 more games that don't move your needle
Stanford at Wake Forest
Texas Tech at Colorado
Syracuse at UConn
North Texas at Tulsa
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
Penn State at Northwestern
Liberty at Delaware
Vanderbilt at Georgia
Alabama at Mississippi State
Florida at Missouri
Kentucky at South Carolina
Auburn at Tennessee
Arkansas at Texas A&M
Middle Tennessee at Kansas
Baylor at Arizona State
BYU at TCU
UCF at Houston
Cincinnati at Arizona
West Virginia at Iowa State
California at UNLV
Notre Dame at North Carolina
Purdue at Illinois
Ohio State at Iowa
Michigan at Minnesota
Maryland at Nebraska
Indiana at Rutgers
Washington at USC
Michigan State at Wisconsin
Utah State at Boise State
Oregon State at Colorado State
Texas State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Washington State
Memphis at Charlotte
UTSA at Rice
Navy at Air Force
Temple at South Florida
San José State at Hawai'i
UTEP at New Mexico
Akron at Central Michigan
Toledo at Ball State
Western Michigan at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts
Ohio at Kent State
Army at Louisiana Tech
Arkansas State at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
Old Dominion at Georgia State
Marshall at James Madison
UL Monroe at South Alabama
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.