Miami Hurricanes

0–0 · 0–0 ACC

Way too early

WEEK 11 · 2026

67%

ACC title game

47%

Win the ACC

55%

Make the playoff

11%

First-round bye

avg seed 7.1

Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-11 job: beat Duke.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

If Miami wins out: 73% to win the ACC, 96% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Miami's path

Your game

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Duke at Miami

Your game. Beat Duke and your playoff odds are 60%; lose and they drop to 28%.

Miami 86%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Louisville at North Carolina

ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings.

Louisville 74%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Wake Forest at SMU

ACC race: SMU losing helps your spot in the standings.

SMU 83%

…

Boston College at Notre Dame

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Boston College winning protects it; Boston College visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Notre Dame 99%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Minnesota at Penn State

Minnesota winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 88%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

California at Virginia

California winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Virginia 81%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Syracuse at NC State

ACC race: NC State losing helps your spot in the standings.

NC State 87%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Fresno State at Texas State

Texas State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas State 66%

57 more games that don't move your needle

Ohio at Miami (OH)

Missouri at Georgia

Ole Miss at Oklahoma

Western Michigan at Akron

Kent State at Bowling Green

Buffalo at Ball State

Massachusetts at Toledo

Memphis at South Florida

Louisiana at UL Monroe

Florida State at Pittsburgh

Arizona State at UCF

Baylor at BYU

Cincinnati at Iowa State

Houston at Colorado

Kansas at West Virginia

Kansas State at TCU

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State

Utah at Arizona

South Carolina at Arkansas

Florida at Kentucky

Texas at LSU

Auburn at Mississippi State

Tennessee at Texas A&M

Alabama at Vanderbilt

Georgia Tech at Clemson

Stanford at Virginia Tech

USC at Indiana

Purdue at Iowa

Wisconsin at Maryland

Washington at Michigan State

Northwestern at Ohio State

Michigan at Oregon

Nebraska at Rutgers

Illinois at UCLA

Oregon State at Boise State

Utah State at San Diego State

Colorado State at Washington State

James Madison at UConn

East Carolina at Charlotte

Florida Atlantic at Tulsa

North Texas at UTSA

Tulane at Rice

UAB at Temple

Nevada at Northern Illinois

San José State at Air Force

UNLV at New Mexico

Wyoming at UTEP

App State at Marshall

Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina

Georgia Southern at Georgia State

Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky

Kennesaw State at Sam Houston

New Mexico State at Missouri State

Florida International at Delaware

Middle Tennessee at Liberty

Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech

Troy at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.