#23Memphis Tigers
6–0 · 2–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
73%
American title game
49%
Win the American
33%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.4
How the week went: playoff odds 33% → 37% · title-game odds 73% → 76%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Memphis's pathWorth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
#24 South Florida at North Texas
American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings; South Florida visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · South Florida 63–36 North TexasWish granted ✓
Root for South Florida+5.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
Navy at Temple
American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Navy in week 14.
Final · Navy 32–31 TempleWent the other way ✗
Root for Temple+3.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
Air Force at UNLV
Air Force winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Air Force 48–51 UNLVWent the other way ✗
Root for Air Force+2.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
UAB at Florida Atlantic
You already beat Florida Atlantic; them losing again keeps them behind you; UAB visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Final · UAB 33–53 Florida AtlanticWent the other way ✗
Root for UAB+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
East Carolina at Tulane
American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings; Tulane visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Final · East Carolina 19–26 TulaneWish granted ✓
Root for Tulane+2.7 pp title-game odds
51 more games that don't move your needle
Rice at UTSA · ESPNU
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State · CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri · ABC
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Ohio State at Illinois · FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati · FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas · ABC
Northwestern at Penn State · FS1
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Indiana at Oregon · CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame · Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN
TCU at Kansas State · FOX
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network
Florida at Texas A&M · ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1
San José State at Wyoming · CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn · ABC
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Michigan at USC · NBC
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Arizona · ESPN2
Troy at Texas State · ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State · FS1
Arizona State at Utah · ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada · CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.