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Memphis Tigers

20 · 00 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
42%
American title game
23%
Win the American
12%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.3
How the week went: playoff odds 12%19% · title-game odds 42%52%.
Playoff odds by week

If Memphis wins out: 58% to win the American, 55% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Memphis's path
Your game
· ESPNU
Memphis at Troy

Your game. Beat Troy and your playoff odds are 15%; lose and they drop to 8%.

Final · Memphis 287 TroyWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
· ESPN+
Navy at Tulsa

American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings; Tulsa visits your schedule in week 6 — keep them ranked.

Final · Navy 4223 TulsaWent the other way ✗
Root for Tulsa+2.6 pp title-game odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
NC State at Wake Forest · ESPN
Colorado at Houston · ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona · FOX
New Mexico at UCLA · BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama · ABC
Oklahoma at Temple · ESPN2
Oregon at Northwestern · FOX
Central Michigan at Michigan · BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Buffalo at Kent State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn · SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri · ESPN+
UConn at Delaware · ESPN+
Georgia at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Purdue · CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech · FOX
Washington State at North Texas · ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia · ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State · ESPN2
UTEP at Texas · SEC Network
South Florida at Miami · The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas at Ole Miss · ESPN
Ohio at Ohio State · Peacock
Western Michigan at Illinois · FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · ESPNU
Florida at LSU · ABC
Texas A&M at Notre Dame · NBC
Massachusetts at Iowa · BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina · SEC Network
Duke at Tulane · ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming · CBSSN
Akron at UAB · ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State · FS1
Minnesota at California · ESPN
Boston College at Stanford · ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State · TNT

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.