Memphis Tigers
5–0 · 1–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
65%
American title game
42%
Win the American
24%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.8
How the week went: playoff odds 24% → 33% · title-game odds 65% → 73%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Memphis's pathYour game
…
… · ESPNU
Tulsa at Memphis
Your game. Beat Tulsa and your playoff odds are 25%; lose and they drop to 12%.
Final · Tulsa 7–45 MemphisWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
Charlotte at South Florida
South Florida visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · Charlotte 26–54 South FloridaWish granted ✓
Root for South Florida+1.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#16 Vanderbilt at #10 Alabama
Alabama winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Vanderbilt 14–30 AlabamaWish granted ✓
Root for Alabama+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBSSN
UNLV at Wyoming
Wyoming winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · UNLV 31–17 WyomingWent the other way ✗
Root for Wyoming+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#11 Texas Tech at Houston
Houston winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Texas Tech 35–11 HoustonWent the other way ✗
Root for Houston+1.2 pp playoff odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia · ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan · FOX
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Texas at Florida · ESPN
Penn State at UCLA · CBS
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame · NBC
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State · NBC
Miami at Florida State · ABC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.